Korea Air (Korea) Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Over 55,407

005430 Stock   60,700  1,700  2.88%   
Korea Air's future price is the expected price of Korea Air instrument. It is based on its current growth rate as well as the projected cash flow expected by the investors. This tool provides a mechanism to make assumptions about the upside potential and downside risk of Korea Air Svc performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility. Check out Korea Air Backtesting, Korea Air Valuation, Korea Air Correlation, Korea Air Hype Analysis, Korea Air Volatility, Korea Air History as well as Korea Air Performance.
  
Please specify Korea Air's target price for which you would like Korea Air odds to be computed.

Korea Air Target Price Odds to finish over 55,407

The tendency of Korea Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to move above the current price in 90 days
 60,700 90 days 60,700 
near 1
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Korea Air to move above the current price in 90 days from now is near 1 (This Korea Air Svc probability density function shows the probability of Korea Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) .
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon Korea Air has a beta of 0.32. This suggests as returns on the market go up, Korea Air average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding Korea Air Svc will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally Korea Air Svc has an alpha of 0.1807, implying that it can generate a 0.18 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta).
   Korea Air Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for Korea Air

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Korea Air Svc. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
60,69860,70060,702
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
57,46057,46266,770
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
64,51064,51264,514
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
54,06256,82159,580
Details
Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as Korea Air. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against Korea Air's peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, Korea Air's competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy toward taking a position in Korea Air Svc.

Korea Air Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Korea Air is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Korea Air's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Korea Air Svc, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Korea Air within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
0.18
β
Beta against Dow Jones0.32
σ
Overall volatility
2,763
Ir
Information ratio 0.05

Korea Air Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Korea Air for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Korea Air Svc can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
About 60.0% of the company shares are owned by insiders or employees

Korea Air Price Density Drivers

Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Korea Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Korea Air's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Korea Air's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding3.1 M

Korea Air Technical Analysis

Korea Air's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Korea Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Korea Air Svc. In general, you should focus on analyzing Korea Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.

Korea Air Predictive Forecast Models

Korea Air's time-series forecasting models is one of many Korea Air's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Korea Air's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.

Things to note about Korea Air Svc

Checking the ongoing alerts about Korea Air for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Korea Air Svc help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
About 60.0% of the company shares are owned by insiders or employees

Other Information on Investing in Korea Stock

Korea Air financial ratios help investors to determine whether Korea Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Korea with respect to the benefits of owning Korea Air security.