Posco Chemical (Korea) Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Under 183,096
| 003670 Stock | 172,300 10,800 5.90% |
Posco |
Posco Chemical Target Price Odds to finish below 183,096
The tendency of Posco Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to move below current price in 90 days |
| 172,300 | 90 days | 172,300 | roughly 2.07 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Posco Chemical to move below current price in 90 days from now is roughly 2.07 (This Posco Chemical Co probability density function shows the probability of Posco Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) .
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon Posco Chemical has a beta of 0.28. This suggests as returns on the market go up, Posco Chemical average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding Posco Chemical Co will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally Posco Chemical Co has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming the Dow Jones Industrial. Posco Chemical Price Density |
| Price |
Predictive Modules for Posco Chemical
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Posco Chemical. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Posco Chemical Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Posco Chemical is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Posco Chemical's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Posco Chemical Co, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Posco Chemical within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over Dow Jones | -0.17 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | 0.28 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 24,247 | |
Ir | Information ratio | -0.06 |
Posco Chemical Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Posco Chemical for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Posco Chemical can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| Posco Chemical generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days | |
| Posco Chemical has high historical volatility and very poor performance | |
| About 64.0% of the company shares are owned by insiders or employees |
Posco Chemical Price Density Drivers
Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Posco Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Posco Chemical's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Posco Chemical's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 77.5 M |
Posco Chemical Technical Analysis
Posco Chemical's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Posco Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Posco Chemical Co. In general, you should focus on analyzing Posco Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
Posco Chemical Predictive Forecast Models
Posco Chemical's time-series forecasting models is one of many Posco Chemical's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Posco Chemical's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Things to note about Posco Chemical
Checking the ongoing alerts about Posco Chemical for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Posco Chemical help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
| Posco Chemical generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days | |
| Posco Chemical has high historical volatility and very poor performance | |
| About 64.0% of the company shares are owned by insiders or employees |
Other Information on Investing in Posco Stock
Posco Chemical financial ratios help investors to determine whether Posco Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Posco with respect to the benefits of owning Posco Chemical security.