Sinomine Resource (China) Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Under 17.00
| 002738 Stock | 36.70 0.19 0.52% |
Sinomine |
Sinomine Resource Target Price Odds to finish below 17.00
The tendency of Sinomine Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to drop to 17.00 or more in 90 days |
| 36.70 | 90 days | 17.00 | near 1 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Sinomine Resource to drop to 17.00 or more in 90 days from now is near 1 (This Sinomine Resource Exploration probability density function shows the probability of Sinomine Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Sinomine Resource price to stay between 17.00 and its current price of 36.7 at the end of the 90-day period is about 61.08 .
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon Sinomine Resource has a beta of 0.0775. This suggests as returns on the market go up, Sinomine Resource average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding Sinomine Resource Exploration will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally Sinomine Resource Exploration has an alpha of 0.4462, implying that it can generate a 0.45 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta). Sinomine Resource Price Density |
| Price |
Predictive Modules for Sinomine Resource
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Sinomine Resource. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Sinomine Resource Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Sinomine Resource is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Sinomine Resource's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Sinomine Resource Exploration, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Sinomine Resource within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over Dow Jones | 0.45 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | 0.08 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 2.94 | |
Ir | Information ratio | 0.12 |
Sinomine Resource Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Sinomine Resource for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Sinomine Resource can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| Sinomine Resource generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days | |
| Sinomine Resource has high historical volatility and very poor performance | |
| Sinomine Resource is unlikely to experience financial distress in the next 2 years | |
| About 23.0% of the company shares are owned by insiders or employees |
Sinomine Resource Price Density Drivers
Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Sinomine Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Sinomine Resource's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Sinomine Resource's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 728.4 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 5.5 B |
Sinomine Resource Technical Analysis
Sinomine Resource's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Sinomine Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Sinomine Resource Exploration. In general, you should focus on analyzing Sinomine Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
Sinomine Resource Predictive Forecast Models
Sinomine Resource's time-series forecasting models is one of many Sinomine Resource's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Sinomine Resource's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Things to note about Sinomine Resource
Checking the ongoing alerts about Sinomine Resource for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Sinomine Resource help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
| Sinomine Resource generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days | |
| Sinomine Resource has high historical volatility and very poor performance | |
| Sinomine Resource is unlikely to experience financial distress in the next 2 years | |
| About 23.0% of the company shares are owned by insiders or employees |
Other Information on Investing in Sinomine Stock
Sinomine Resource financial ratios help investors to determine whether Sinomine Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Sinomine with respect to the benefits of owning Sinomine Resource security.