Shinil Industrial (Korea) Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Over 1418.01

002700 Stock   1,424  3.00  0.21%   
Shinil Industrial's future price is the expected price of Shinil Industrial instrument. It is based on its current growth rate as well as the projected cash flow expected by the investors. This tool provides a mechanism to make assumptions about the upside potential and downside risk of Shinil Industrial Co performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility. Check out Shinil Industrial Backtesting, Shinil Industrial Valuation, Shinil Industrial Correlation, Shinil Industrial Hype Analysis, Shinil Industrial Volatility, Shinil Industrial History as well as Shinil Industrial Performance.
  
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Shinil Industrial Target Price Odds to finish over 1418.01

The tendency of Shinil Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to stay above  1,418  in 90 days
 1,424 90 days 1,418 
about 71.49
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Shinil Industrial to stay above  1,418  in 90 days from now is about 71.49 (This Shinil Industrial Co probability density function shows the probability of Shinil Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Shinil Industrial price to stay between  1,418  and its current price of 1424.0 at the end of the 90-day period is about 5.12 .
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon Shinil Industrial has a beta of 0.0565. This suggests as returns on the market go up, Shinil Industrial average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding Shinil Industrial Co will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally Shinil Industrial Co has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming the Dow Jones Industrial.
   Shinil Industrial Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for Shinil Industrial

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Shinil Industrial. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
1,4231,4241,425
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
1,2091,2111,566
Details

Shinil Industrial Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Shinil Industrial is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Shinil Industrial's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Shinil Industrial Co, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Shinil Industrial within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
-0.09
β
Beta against Dow Jones0.06
σ
Overall volatility
41.24
Ir
Information ratio -0.08

Shinil Industrial Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Shinil Industrial for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Shinil Industrial can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Shinil Industrial generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days

Shinil Industrial Technical Analysis

Shinil Industrial's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Shinil Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Shinil Industrial Co. In general, you should focus on analyzing Shinil Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.

Shinil Industrial Predictive Forecast Models

Shinil Industrial's time-series forecasting models is one of many Shinil Industrial's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Shinil Industrial's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.

Things to note about Shinil Industrial

Checking the ongoing alerts about Shinil Industrial for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Shinil Industrial help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Shinil Industrial generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days

Other Information on Investing in Shinil Stock

Shinil Industrial financial ratios help investors to determine whether Shinil Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Shinil with respect to the benefits of owning Shinil Industrial security.