Linzhou Heavy (China) Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Under 4.92
| 002535 Stock | 4.46 0.13 2.83% |
Linzhou |
Linzhou Heavy Target Price Odds to finish below 4.92
The tendency of Linzhou Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to stay under 4.92 after 90 days |
| 4.46 | 90 days | 4.92 | close to 99 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Linzhou Heavy to stay under 4.92 after 90 days from now is close to 99 (This Linzhou Heavy Machinery probability density function shows the probability of Linzhou Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Linzhou Heavy Machinery price to stay between its current price of 4.46 and 4.92 at the end of the 90-day period is about 6.04 .
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon Linzhou Heavy Machinery has a beta of -0.16. This suggests as returns on the benchmark increase, returns on holding Linzhou Heavy are expected to decrease at a much lower rate. During a bear market, however, Linzhou Heavy Machinery is likely to outperform the market. Additionally Linzhou Heavy Machinery has an alpha of 0.5611, implying that it can generate a 0.56 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta). Linzhou Heavy Price Density |
| Price |
Predictive Modules for Linzhou Heavy
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Linzhou Heavy Machinery. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Linzhou Heavy Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Linzhou Heavy is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Linzhou Heavy's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Linzhou Heavy Machinery, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Linzhou Heavy within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over Dow Jones | 0.56 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | -0.16 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 0.43 | |
Ir | Information ratio | 0.15 |
Linzhou Heavy Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Linzhou Heavy for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Linzhou Heavy Machinery can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| Linzhou Heavy appears to be risky and price may revert if volatility continues | |
| About 43.0% of the company shares are owned by insiders or employees | |
| Latest headline from news.google.com: Shareholders Would Enjoy A Repeat Of Linzhou Heavy Machinery GroupLtds Recent Growth In Returns - Simply Wall St |
Linzhou Heavy Price Density Drivers
Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Linzhou Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Linzhou Heavy's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Linzhou Heavy's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 801.7 M |
Linzhou Heavy Technical Analysis
Linzhou Heavy's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Linzhou Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Linzhou Heavy Machinery. In general, you should focus on analyzing Linzhou Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
Linzhou Heavy Predictive Forecast Models
Linzhou Heavy's time-series forecasting models is one of many Linzhou Heavy's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Linzhou Heavy's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Things to note about Linzhou Heavy Machinery
Checking the ongoing alerts about Linzhou Heavy for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Linzhou Heavy Machinery help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
| Linzhou Heavy appears to be risky and price may revert if volatility continues | |
| About 43.0% of the company shares are owned by insiders or employees | |
| Latest headline from news.google.com: Shareholders Would Enjoy A Repeat Of Linzhou Heavy Machinery GroupLtds Recent Growth In Returns - Simply Wall St |
Other Information on Investing in Linzhou Stock
Linzhou Heavy financial ratios help investors to determine whether Linzhou Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Linzhou with respect to the benefits of owning Linzhou Heavy security.