Linzhou Heavy (China) Buy Hold or Sell Recommendation
| 002535 Stock | 4.46 0.13 2.83% |
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon and your typical level of risk aversion, our recommendation regarding Linzhou Heavy Machinery is 'Strong Sell'. Macroaxis provides Linzhou Heavy buy-hold-or-sell recommendation only in the context of selected investment horizon and investor attitude towards risk assumed by holding 002535 positions.
Check out Linzhou Heavy Analyst Recommendation to compare Macroaxis Buy or Sell Recommendation with the current analyst consensus. To check ratings for multiple equity instruments, please use the Instant Ratings tool. In addition, we conduct extensive research on individual companies such as Linzhou and provide practical buy, sell, or hold advice based on investors' investing horizon and their risk tolerance towards Linzhou Heavy Machinery. Also, note that the market value of any company could be closely tied with the direction of predictive economic indicators such as signals in nation.
Linzhou |
Execute Linzhou Heavy Buy or Sell Advice
The Linzhou recommendation should be used to complement the buy-or-sell advice compiled from the current analysts' consensus on Linzhou Heavy Machinery. Macroaxis does not own or have any residual interests in Linzhou Heavy Machinery or other equities on which the buy-or-sell advice is provided. Please provide your input below to execute Linzhou Heavy's advice using the current market data and latest reported fundamentals.
Time Horizon
Risk Tolerance
 |  |
Strong Sell
Market Performance | Solid | Details | |
Volatility | Relatively risky | Details | |
Hype Condition | Under hyped | Details | |
Current Valuation | Overvalued | Details | |
Odds Of Distress | Below Average | Details | |
Economic Sensitivity | Moves indifferently to market moves | Details | |
Analyst Consensus | Not Available | Details | |
Reporting Quality (M-Score) | Inapplicable | Details |
Linzhou Heavy Trading Alerts and Improvement Suggestions
| Linzhou Heavy appears to be risky and price may revert if volatility continues | |
| About 43.0% of the company shares are owned by insiders or employees | |
| Latest headline from news.google.com: Shareholders Would Enjoy A Repeat Of Linzhou Heavy Machinery GroupLtds Recent Growth In Returns - Simply Wall St |
Linzhou Heavy Returns Distribution Density
The distribution of Linzhou Heavy's historical returns is an attempt to chart the uncertainty of Linzhou Heavy's future price movements. The chart of the probability distribution of Linzhou Heavy daily returns describes the distribution of returns around its average expected value. We use Linzhou Heavy Machinery price's Value At Risk and its Upside Potential as a relative measure of the distribution. The graph of the distribution of Linzhou Heavy returns is essential to provide solid investment advice for Linzhou Heavy.
| Mean Return | 0.56 | Value At Risk | -3.09 | Potential Upside | 4.61 | Standard Deviation | 2.96 |
Return Density |
| Distribution |
Investment risk management requires an estimate of the probability of extreme price changes. Therefore, the correct representation of the distribution of Linzhou Heavy historical returns presented in an easy-to-digest graphical form helps investors and money managers understand the risk-reward trade-off of different investement strategies.
Linzhou Heavy Cash Flow Accounts
| 2019 | 2020 | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 (projected) | ||
| Change To Inventory | 269.6M | 59.3M | (56.5M) | 40.0M | (65.9M) | (62.6M) | |
| Dividends Paid | 72.7M | 133.8M | 135.4M | 97.3M | 92.4M | 100.8M | |
| Capital Expenditures | 6.1M | 80.0K | 35K | 24.1M | 43.9M | 41.7M | |
| Net Income | (2.0B) | 37.3M | (428.8M) | 17.2M | 116.9M | 122.8M | |
| Investments | 6.7M | 6.4M | (2M) | (24.1M) | (30.8M) | (29.3M) | |
| Change In Cash | (9.4M) | 273.6M | (184.6M) | (7.3M) | (49.8M) | (47.3M) | |
| Net Borrowings | 454.6M | 82.3M | (34.0M) | (53.6M) | (61.7M) | (64.7M) | |
| Depreciation | 162.2M | 135.0M | 130.7M | 139.4M | 155.2M | 119.2M | |
| Change To Netincome | 1.8B | 51.6M | 228.4M | 118.6M | 136.3M | 129.5M | |
| End Period Cash Flow | 2.8M | 276.3M | 91.7M | 84.5M | 34.7M | 32.9M | |
| Free Cash Flow | (982.2M) | 98.6M | 378.3M | 201.3M | 437.9M | 459.7M | |
| Other Non Cash Items | 106.0M | 157.4M | 152.7M | 108.9M | 90.2M | 102.6M |
Linzhou Heavy Greeks
Most traded equities are subject to two types of risk - systematic (i.e., market) and unsystematic (i.e., nonmarket or company-specific) risk. Unsystematic risk is the risk that events specific to Linzhou Heavy or Machinery sector will adversely affect the stock's price. This type of risk can be diversified away by owning several different stocks in different industries whose stock prices have shown a small correlation to each other. On the other hand, systematic risk is the risk that Linzhou Heavy's price will be affected by overall stock market movements and cannot be diversified away. So, no matter how many positions you have, you cannot eliminate market risk. However, you can measure a Linzhou stock's historical response to market movements and buy it if you are comfortable with its volatility direction. Beta and standard deviation are two commonly used measures to help you make the right decision.
α | Alpha over Dow Jones | 0.56 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | -0.16 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 3.11 | |
Ir | Information ratio | 0.15 |
Linzhou Heavy Volatility Alert
Linzhou Heavy Machinery currently demonstrates below-average downside deviation. It has Information Ratio of 0.15 and Jensen Alpha of 0.56. Understanding different market volatility trends often help investors to time the market. Properly using volatility indicators enable traders to measure Linzhou Heavy's stock risk against market volatility during both bullish and bearish trends. The higher level of volatility that comes with bear markets can directly impact Linzhou Heavy's stock price while adding stress to investors as they watch their shares' value plummet. This usually forces investors to rebalance their portfolios by buying different financial instruments as prices fall.Linzhou Heavy Fundamentals Vs Peers
Comparing Linzhou Heavy's fundamentals to the average values of its peers is one of the most widely used and accepted methods of equity analyses. It helps to analyze Linzhou Heavy's direct or indirect competition across all of the common fundamentals between Linzhou Heavy and the related equities. This way, we can detect undervalued stocks with similar characteristics as Linzhou Heavy or determine the stocks which would be an excellent addition to an existing portfolio. Peer analysis of Linzhou Heavy's fundamental indicators could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Linzhou Heavy by comparing valuation metrics with those of similar companies.
| Better Than Average | Worse Than Average | Compare Linzhou Heavy to competition |
| Fundamentals | Linzhou Heavy | Peer Average |
| Return On Equity | 0.28 | -0.31 |
| Return On Asset | 0.0541 | -0.14 |
| Profit Margin | 0.08 % | (1.27) % |
| Operating Margin | 0.20 % | (5.51) % |
| Current Valuation | 5.05 B | 16.62 B |
| Shares Outstanding | 801.68 M | 571.82 M |
| Shares Owned By Insiders | 42.62 % | 10.09 % |
| Shares Owned By Institutions | 0.01 % | 39.21 % |
| Price To Book | 5.24 X | 9.51 X |
| Price To Sales | 1.85 X | 11.42 X |
| Revenue | 1.84 B | 9.43 B |
| Gross Profit | 265.79 M | 27.38 B |
| EBITDA | 511.54 M | 3.9 B |
| Net Income | 116.94 M | 570.98 M |
| Total Debt | 937.72 M | 5.32 B |
| Book Value Per Share | 0.85 X | 1.93 K |
| Cash Flow From Operations | 481.74 M | 971.22 M |
| Earnings Per Share | 0.21 X | 3.12 X |
| Number Of Employees | 1.78 K | 18.84 K |
| Beta | 0.55 | -0.15 |
| Market Capitalization | 3.68 B | 19.03 B |
| Total Asset | 3.99 B | 29.47 B |
| Retained Earnings | (2.15 B) | 9.33 B |
| Working Capital | (1.15 B) | 1.48 B |
| Net Asset | 3.99 B |
Linzhou Heavy Market Momentum
Traders often use several daily momentume indicators to supplement a more traditional technical analysis when analyzing securities such as Linzhou . With many different options, investors must choose the best indicators for them and familiarize themselves with how they work. We suggest combining traditional momentum indicators with more near-term forms of technical analysis such as Accumulation Distribution or Daily Balance Of Power. With their quantitative nature, daily value technical indicators can also be incorporated into your automated trading systems.
| Accumulation Distribution | 1.1 M | |||
| Daily Balance Of Power | (0.87) | |||
| Rate Of Daily Change | 0.97 | |||
| Day Median Price | 4.53 | |||
| Day Typical Price | 4.5 | |||
| Price Action Indicator | (0.13) | |||
| Period Momentum Indicator | (0.13) |
About Linzhou Heavy Buy or Sell Advice
When is the right time to buy or sell Linzhou Heavy Machinery? Buying financial instruments such as Linzhou Stock isn't very hard. However, what challenging for most investors is doing it at the right time to beat the market. Proper market timing is something most people cannot do without sophisticated tools, which help to isolate the right opportunities. Macroaxis provides hands-on modules to deliver winning trades and diversify your portfolios on a daily basis. Most of our advising modules are very easy to use and apply.
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Other Information on Investing in Linzhou Stock
Linzhou Heavy financial ratios help investors to determine whether Linzhou Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Linzhou with respect to the benefits of owning Linzhou Heavy security.