Ningbo Ligong (China) Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Over 13.64

002322 Stock   13.64  0.05  0.37%   
Ningbo Ligong's future price is the expected price of Ningbo Ligong instrument. It is based on its current growth rate as well as the projected cash flow expected by the investors. This tool provides a mechanism to make assumptions about the upside potential and downside risk of Ningbo Ligong Online performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility. Check out Ningbo Ligong Backtesting, Ningbo Ligong Valuation, Ningbo Ligong Correlation, Ningbo Ligong Hype Analysis, Ningbo Ligong Volatility, Ningbo Ligong History as well as Ningbo Ligong Performance.
  
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Ningbo Ligong Target Price Odds to finish over 13.64

The tendency of Ningbo Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to move above the current price in 90 days
 13.64 90 days 13.64 
about 75.9
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Ningbo Ligong to move above the current price in 90 days from now is about 75.9 (This Ningbo Ligong Online probability density function shows the probability of Ningbo Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) .
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon Ningbo Ligong has a beta of 0.12. This suggests as returns on the market go up, Ningbo Ligong average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding Ningbo Ligong Online will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally Ningbo Ligong Online has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming the Dow Jones Industrial.
   Ningbo Ligong Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for Ningbo Ligong

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Ningbo Ligong Online. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
10.7513.6416.53
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
9.3312.2215.11
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
10.6613.5516.45
Details
Earnings
Estimates (0)
LowProjected EPSHigh
0.180.180.18
Details
Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as Ningbo Ligong. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against Ningbo Ligong's peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, Ningbo Ligong's competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy toward taking a position in Ningbo Ligong Online.

Ningbo Ligong Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Ningbo Ligong is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Ningbo Ligong's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Ningbo Ligong Online, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Ningbo Ligong within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
-0.11
β
Beta against Dow Jones0.12
σ
Overall volatility
0.64
Ir
Information ratio -0.07

Ningbo Ligong Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Ningbo Ligong for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Ningbo Ligong Online can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Ningbo Ligong Online generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days
About 40.0% of the company shares are owned by insiders or employees
Latest headline from news.google.com: Investors Met With Slowing Returns on Capital At Ningbo Ligong Environment And Energy TechnologyLtd - Simply Wall St

Ningbo Ligong Price Density Drivers

Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Ningbo Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Ningbo Ligong's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Ningbo Ligong's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding379.1 M

Ningbo Ligong Technical Analysis

Ningbo Ligong's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Ningbo Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Ningbo Ligong Online. In general, you should focus on analyzing Ningbo Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.

Ningbo Ligong Predictive Forecast Models

Ningbo Ligong's time-series forecasting models is one of many Ningbo Ligong's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Ningbo Ligong's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.

Things to note about Ningbo Ligong Online

Checking the ongoing alerts about Ningbo Ligong for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Ningbo Ligong Online help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Ningbo Ligong Online generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days
About 40.0% of the company shares are owned by insiders or employees
Latest headline from news.google.com: Investors Met With Slowing Returns on Capital At Ningbo Ligong Environment And Energy TechnologyLtd - Simply Wall St

Other Information on Investing in Ningbo Stock

Ningbo Ligong financial ratios help investors to determine whether Ningbo Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Ningbo with respect to the benefits of owning Ningbo Ligong security.