Cloud Live (China) Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Over 3.26

002306 Stock   3.01  0.16  5.05%   
Cloud Live's future price is the expected price of Cloud Live instrument. It is based on its current growth rate as well as the projected cash flow expected by the investors. This tool provides a mechanism to make assumptions about the upside potential and downside risk of Cloud Live Technology performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility. Check out Cloud Live Backtesting, Cloud Live Valuation, Cloud Live Correlation, Cloud Live Hype Analysis, Cloud Live Volatility, Cloud Live History as well as Cloud Live Performance.
  
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Cloud Live Target Price Odds to finish over 3.26

The tendency of Cloud Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to move over  3.26  or more in 90 days
 3.01 90 days 3.26 
about 62.81
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Cloud Live to move over  3.26  or more in 90 days from now is about 62.81 (This Cloud Live Technology probability density function shows the probability of Cloud Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Cloud Live Technology price to stay between its current price of  3.01  and  3.26  at the end of the 90-day period is about 16.22 .
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon the stock has the beta coefficient of 1.02 . This suggests Cloud Live Technology market returns are sensitive to returns on the market. As the market goes up or down, Cloud Live is expected to follow. Additionally Cloud Live Technology has an alpha of 0.3405, implying that it can generate a 0.34 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta).
   Cloud Live Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for Cloud Live

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Cloud Live Technology. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
0.163.177.48
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
0.163.177.48
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
0.052.727.03
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
2.503.534.56
Details

Cloud Live Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Cloud Live is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Cloud Live's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Cloud Live Technology, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Cloud Live within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
0.34
β
Beta against Dow Jones1.02
σ
Overall volatility
0.52
Ir
Information ratio 0.08

Cloud Live Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Cloud Live for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Cloud Live Technology can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Cloud Live had very high historical volatility over the last 90 days
Cloud Live has high likelihood to experience some financial distress in the next 2 years
The company reported the revenue of 190.56 M. Net Loss for the year was (58.97 M) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 107.65 M.
About 28.0% of the company shares are owned by insiders or employees

Cloud Live Price Density Drivers

Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Cloud Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Cloud Live's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Cloud Live's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding869.8 M

Cloud Live Technical Analysis

Cloud Live's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Cloud Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Cloud Live Technology. In general, you should focus on analyzing Cloud Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.

Cloud Live Predictive Forecast Models

Cloud Live's time-series forecasting models is one of many Cloud Live's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Cloud Live's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.

Things to note about Cloud Live Technology

Checking the ongoing alerts about Cloud Live for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Cloud Live Technology help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Cloud Live had very high historical volatility over the last 90 days
Cloud Live has high likelihood to experience some financial distress in the next 2 years
The company reported the revenue of 190.56 M. Net Loss for the year was (58.97 M) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 107.65 M.
About 28.0% of the company shares are owned by insiders or employees

Other Information on Investing in Cloud Stock

Cloud Live financial ratios help investors to determine whether Cloud Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Cloud with respect to the benefits of owning Cloud Live security.