Shenzhen Topway (China) Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Under 6.54
| 002238 Stock | 10.22 0.42 4.29% |
Shenzhen |
Shenzhen Topway Target Price Odds to finish below 6.54
The tendency of Shenzhen Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to drop to 6.54 or more in 90 days |
| 10.22 | 90 days | 6.54 | nearly 4.63 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Shenzhen Topway to drop to 6.54 or more in 90 days from now is nearly 4.63 (This Shenzhen Topway Video probability density function shows the probability of Shenzhen Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Shenzhen Topway Video price to stay between 6.54 and its current price of 10.22 at the end of the 90-day period is about 90.86 .
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon Shenzhen Topway Video has a beta of -0.16. This suggests as returns on the benchmark increase, returns on holding Shenzhen Topway are expected to decrease at a much lower rate. During a bear market, however, Shenzhen Topway Video is likely to outperform the market. Additionally Shenzhen Topway Video has an alpha of 0.5909, implying that it can generate a 0.59 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta). Shenzhen Topway Price Density |
| Price |
Predictive Modules for Shenzhen Topway
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Shenzhen Topway Video. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Shenzhen Topway Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Shenzhen Topway is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Shenzhen Topway's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Shenzhen Topway Video, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Shenzhen Topway within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over Dow Jones | 0.59 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | -0.16 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 1.09 | |
Ir | Information ratio | 0.12 |
Shenzhen Topway Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Shenzhen Topway for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Shenzhen Topway Video can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| Shenzhen Topway appears to be risky and price may revert if volatility continues | |
| About 75.0% of the company shares are owned by insiders or employees | |
| Latest headline from news.google.com: Shenzhen Topway Video Communication Co., Ltd Stock Rockets 29 percent As Investors Are Less Pessimistic Than Expected - Simply Wall St |
Shenzhen Topway Price Density Drivers
Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Shenzhen Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Shenzhen Topway's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Shenzhen Topway's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 802.6 M |
Shenzhen Topway Technical Analysis
Shenzhen Topway's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Shenzhen Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Shenzhen Topway Video. In general, you should focus on analyzing Shenzhen Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
Shenzhen Topway Predictive Forecast Models
Shenzhen Topway's time-series forecasting models is one of many Shenzhen Topway's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Shenzhen Topway's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Things to note about Shenzhen Topway Video
Checking the ongoing alerts about Shenzhen Topway for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Shenzhen Topway Video help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
| Shenzhen Topway appears to be risky and price may revert if volatility continues | |
| About 75.0% of the company shares are owned by insiders or employees | |
| Latest headline from news.google.com: Shenzhen Topway Video Communication Co., Ltd Stock Rockets 29 percent As Investors Are Less Pessimistic Than Expected - Simply Wall St |
Other Information on Investing in Shenzhen Stock
Shenzhen Topway financial ratios help investors to determine whether Shenzhen Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Shenzhen with respect to the benefits of owning Shenzhen Topway security.