Sieyuan Electric (China) Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Under 48.54
| 002028 Stock | 70.85 1.37 1.90% |
Sieyuan |
Sieyuan Electric Target Price Odds to finish below 48.54
The tendency of Sieyuan Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to drop to 48.54 or more in 90 days |
| 70.85 | 90 days | 48.54 | near 1 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Sieyuan Electric to drop to 48.54 or more in 90 days from now is near 1 (This Sieyuan Electric Co probability density function shows the probability of Sieyuan Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Sieyuan Electric price to stay between 48.54 and its current price of 70.85 at the end of the 90-day period is about 17.85 .
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon Sieyuan Electric Co has a beta of -0.1. This suggests as returns on the benchmark increase, returns on holding Sieyuan Electric are expected to decrease at a much lower rate. During a bear market, however, Sieyuan Electric Co is likely to outperform the market. Additionally Sieyuan Electric Co has an alpha of 0.0815, implying that it can generate a 0.0815 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta). Sieyuan Electric Price Density |
| Price |
Predictive Modules for Sieyuan Electric
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Sieyuan Electric. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Sieyuan Electric Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Sieyuan Electric is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Sieyuan Electric's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Sieyuan Electric Co, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Sieyuan Electric within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over Dow Jones | 0.08 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | -0.1 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 3.76 | |
Ir | Information ratio | 0.03 |
Sieyuan Electric Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Sieyuan Electric for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Sieyuan Electric can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| Sieyuan Electric is unlikely to experience financial distress in the next 2 years | |
| About 35.0% of the company shares are owned by insiders or employees | |
| Latest headline from news.google.com: Sieyuan Electrics earnings growth rate lags the 40 percent CAGR delivered to shareholders - Simply Wall St |
Sieyuan Electric Price Density Drivers
Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Sieyuan Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Sieyuan Electric's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Sieyuan Electric's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 773.9 M |
Sieyuan Electric Technical Analysis
Sieyuan Electric's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Sieyuan Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Sieyuan Electric Co. In general, you should focus on analyzing Sieyuan Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
Sieyuan Electric Predictive Forecast Models
Sieyuan Electric's time-series forecasting models is one of many Sieyuan Electric's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Sieyuan Electric's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Things to note about Sieyuan Electric
Checking the ongoing alerts about Sieyuan Electric for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Sieyuan Electric help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
| Sieyuan Electric is unlikely to experience financial distress in the next 2 years | |
| About 35.0% of the company shares are owned by insiders or employees | |
| Latest headline from news.google.com: Sieyuan Electrics earnings growth rate lags the 40 percent CAGR delivered to shareholders - Simply Wall St |
Other Information on Investing in Sieyuan Stock
Sieyuan Electric financial ratios help investors to determine whether Sieyuan Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Sieyuan with respect to the benefits of owning Sieyuan Electric security.