Qinghai Salt (China) Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Over 21.78
| 000792 Stock | 16.84 0.30 1.81% |
Qinghai |
Qinghai Salt Target Price Odds to finish over 21.78
The tendency of Qinghai Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to move over 21.78 or more in 90 days |
| 16.84 | 90 days | 21.78 | near 1 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Qinghai Salt to move over 21.78 or more in 90 days from now is near 1 (This Qinghai Salt Lake probability density function shows the probability of Qinghai Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Qinghai Salt Lake price to stay between its current price of 16.84 and 21.78 at the end of the 90-day period is about 69.62 .
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon Qinghai Salt Lake has a beta of -0.22. This suggests as returns on the benchmark increase, returns on holding Qinghai Salt are expected to decrease at a much lower rate. During a bear market, however, Qinghai Salt Lake is likely to outperform the market. Additionally Qinghai Salt Lake has an alpha of 0.1889, implying that it can generate a 0.19 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta). Qinghai Salt Price Density |
| Price |
Predictive Modules for Qinghai Salt
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Qinghai Salt Lake. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Qinghai Salt Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Qinghai Salt is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Qinghai Salt's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Qinghai Salt Lake, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Qinghai Salt within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over Dow Jones | 0.19 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | -0.22 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 1.32 | |
Ir | Information ratio | 0.06 |
Qinghai Salt Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Qinghai Salt for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Qinghai Salt Lake can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| Qinghai Salt Lake is unlikely to experience financial distress in the next 2 years | |
| About 30.0% of the company shares are owned by insiders or employees |
Qinghai Salt Price Density Drivers
Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Qinghai Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Qinghai Salt's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Qinghai Salt's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 5.4 B |
Qinghai Salt Technical Analysis
Qinghai Salt's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Qinghai Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Qinghai Salt Lake. In general, you should focus on analyzing Qinghai Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
Qinghai Salt Predictive Forecast Models
Qinghai Salt's time-series forecasting models is one of many Qinghai Salt's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Qinghai Salt's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Things to note about Qinghai Salt Lake
Checking the ongoing alerts about Qinghai Salt for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Qinghai Salt Lake help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
| Qinghai Salt Lake is unlikely to experience financial distress in the next 2 years | |
| About 30.0% of the company shares are owned by insiders or employees |
Other Information on Investing in Qinghai Stock
Qinghai Salt financial ratios help investors to determine whether Qinghai Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Qinghai with respect to the benefits of owning Qinghai Salt security.