PKU HealthCare (China) Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Over 6.48
| 000788 Stock | 6.80 0.17 2.44% |
PKU |
PKU HealthCare Target Price Odds to finish over 6.48
The tendency of PKU Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to stay above 6.48 in 90 days |
| 6.80 | 90 days | 6.48 | about 22.04 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of PKU HealthCare to stay above 6.48 in 90 days from now is about 22.04 (This PKU HealthCare Corp probability density function shows the probability of PKU Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of PKU HealthCare Corp price to stay between 6.48 and its current price of 6.8 at the end of the 90-day period is about 14.51 .
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon PKU HealthCare Corp has a beta of -0.77. This suggests as returns on the benchmark increase, returns on holding PKU HealthCare are expected to decrease at a much lower rate. During a bear market, however, PKU HealthCare Corp is likely to outperform the market. Additionally PKU HealthCare Corp has an alpha of 0.4518, implying that it can generate a 0.45 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta). PKU HealthCare Price Density |
| Price |
Predictive Modules for PKU HealthCare
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as PKU HealthCare Corp. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.PKU HealthCare Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. PKU HealthCare is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the PKU HealthCare's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold PKU HealthCare Corp, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of PKU HealthCare within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over Dow Jones | 0.45 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | -0.77 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 0.48 | |
Ir | Information ratio | 0.14 |
PKU HealthCare Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of PKU HealthCare for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for PKU HealthCare Corp can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| PKU HealthCare Corp appears to be risky and price may revert if volatility continues | |
| About 38.0% of the company shares are owned by insiders or employees |
PKU HealthCare Price Density Drivers
Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of PKU Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential PKU HealthCare's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. PKU HealthCare's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 596 M | |
| Dividends Paid | 3.9 M | |
| Forward Annual Dividend Rate | 0.03 | |
| Shares Float | 382.8 M |
PKU HealthCare Technical Analysis
PKU HealthCare's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. PKU Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of PKU HealthCare Corp. In general, you should focus on analyzing PKU Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
PKU HealthCare Predictive Forecast Models
PKU HealthCare's time-series forecasting models is one of many PKU HealthCare's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary PKU HealthCare's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Things to note about PKU HealthCare Corp
Checking the ongoing alerts about PKU HealthCare for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for PKU HealthCare Corp help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
| PKU HealthCare Corp appears to be risky and price may revert if volatility continues | |
| About 38.0% of the company shares are owned by insiders or employees |
Other Information on Investing in PKU Stock
PKU HealthCare financial ratios help investors to determine whether PKU Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in PKU with respect to the benefits of owning PKU HealthCare security.