Zhongshan Public (China) Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Over 16.36

000685 Stock   9.10  0.15  1.62%   
Zhongshan Public's future price is the expected price of Zhongshan Public instrument. It is based on its current growth rate as well as the projected cash flow expected by the investors. This tool provides a mechanism to make assumptions about the upside potential and downside risk of Zhongshan Public Utilities performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility. Check out Zhongshan Public Backtesting, Zhongshan Public Valuation, Zhongshan Public Correlation, Zhongshan Public Hype Analysis, Zhongshan Public Volatility, Zhongshan Public History as well as Zhongshan Public Performance.
  
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Zhongshan Public Target Price Odds to finish over 16.36

The tendency of Zhongshan Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to move over  16.36  or more in 90 days
 9.10 90 days 16.36 
close to zero percent
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Zhongshan Public to move over  16.36  or more in 90 days from now is close to zero percent (This Zhongshan Public Utilities probability density function shows the probability of Zhongshan Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Zhongshan Public Uti price to stay between its current price of  9.10  and  16.36  at the end of the 90-day period is about 15.56 .
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon Zhongshan Public Utilities has a beta of -0.28. This suggests as returns on the benchmark increase, returns on holding Zhongshan Public are expected to decrease at a much lower rate. During a bear market, however, Zhongshan Public Utilities is likely to outperform the market. Additionally Zhongshan Public Utilities has an alpha of 0.4295, implying that it can generate a 0.43 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta).
   Zhongshan Public Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for Zhongshan Public

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Zhongshan Public Uti. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
6.449.2612.08
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
4.627.4410.26
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
6.098.9211.74
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
8.768.959.14
Details
Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as Zhongshan Public. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against Zhongshan Public's peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, Zhongshan Public's competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy toward taking a position in Zhongshan Public Uti.

Zhongshan Public Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Zhongshan Public is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Zhongshan Public's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Zhongshan Public Utilities, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Zhongshan Public within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
0.43
β
Beta against Dow Jones-0.28
σ
Overall volatility
0.78
Ir
Information ratio 0.11

Zhongshan Public Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Zhongshan Public for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Zhongshan Public Uti can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
About 53.0% of the company shares are owned by insiders or employees

Zhongshan Public Price Density Drivers

Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Zhongshan Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Zhongshan Public's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Zhongshan Public's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding1.5 B
Cash And Short Term Investments2.2 B

Zhongshan Public Technical Analysis

Zhongshan Public's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Zhongshan Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Zhongshan Public Utilities. In general, you should focus on analyzing Zhongshan Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.

Zhongshan Public Predictive Forecast Models

Zhongshan Public's time-series forecasting models is one of many Zhongshan Public's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Zhongshan Public's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.

Things to note about Zhongshan Public Uti

Checking the ongoing alerts about Zhongshan Public for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Zhongshan Public Uti help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
About 53.0% of the company shares are owned by insiders or employees

Other Information on Investing in Zhongshan Stock

Zhongshan Public financial ratios help investors to determine whether Zhongshan Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Zhongshan with respect to the benefits of owning Zhongshan Public security.