Maoming Petro (China) Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Under 3.66
| 000637 Stock | 3.63 0.07 1.97% |
Maoming |
Maoming Petro Target Price Odds to finish below 3.66
The tendency of Maoming Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to stay under 3.66 after 90 days |
| 3.63 | 90 days | 3.66 | about 46.85 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Maoming Petro to stay under 3.66 after 90 days from now is about 46.85 (This Maoming Petro Chemical Shihua probability density function shows the probability of Maoming Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Maoming Petro Chemical price to stay between its current price of 3.63 and 3.66 at the end of the 90-day period is about 8.4 .
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon Maoming Petro Chemical Shihua has a beta of -0.0588. This suggests as returns on the benchmark increase, returns on holding Maoming Petro are expected to decrease at a much lower rate. During a bear market, however, Maoming Petro Chemical Shihua is likely to outperform the market. Additionally Maoming Petro Chemical Shihua has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming the Dow Jones Industrial. Maoming Petro Price Density |
| Price |
Predictive Modules for Maoming Petro
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Maoming Petro Chemical. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Maoming Petro Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Maoming Petro is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Maoming Petro's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Maoming Petro Chemical Shihua, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Maoming Petro within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over Dow Jones | -0.24 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | -0.06 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 0.14 | |
Ir | Information ratio | -0.08 |
Maoming Petro Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Maoming Petro for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Maoming Petro Chemical can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| Maoming Petro generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days | |
| The company reported the revenue of 4.55 B. Net Loss for the year was (127.83 M) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 275.04 M. | |
| About 50.0% of the company shares are owned by insiders or employees |
Maoming Petro Price Density Drivers
Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Maoming Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Maoming Petro's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Maoming Petro's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 519.9 M |
Maoming Petro Technical Analysis
Maoming Petro's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Maoming Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Maoming Petro Chemical Shihua. In general, you should focus on analyzing Maoming Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
Maoming Petro Predictive Forecast Models
Maoming Petro's time-series forecasting models is one of many Maoming Petro's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Maoming Petro's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Things to note about Maoming Petro Chemical
Checking the ongoing alerts about Maoming Petro for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Maoming Petro Chemical help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
| Maoming Petro generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days | |
| The company reported the revenue of 4.55 B. Net Loss for the year was (127.83 M) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 275.04 M. | |
| About 50.0% of the company shares are owned by insiders or employees |
Other Information on Investing in Maoming Stock
Maoming Petro financial ratios help investors to determine whether Maoming Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Maoming with respect to the benefits of owning Maoming Petro security.