Luzhou Lao (China) Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Under 187.62
| 000568 Stock | 129.55 0.57 0.44% |
Luzhou |
Luzhou Lao Target Price Odds to finish below 187.62
The tendency of Luzhou Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to stay under 187.62 after 90 days |
| 129.55 | 90 days | 187.62 | close to 99 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Luzhou Lao to stay under 187.62 after 90 days from now is close to 99 (This Luzhou Lao Jiao probability density function shows the probability of Luzhou Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Luzhou Lao Jiao price to stay between its current price of 129.55 and 187.62 at the end of the 90-day period is about 70.41 .
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon Luzhou Lao has a beta of 0.27. This suggests as returns on the market go up, Luzhou Lao average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding Luzhou Lao Jiao will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally Luzhou Lao Jiao has an alpha of 0.4339, implying that it can generate a 0.43 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta). Luzhou Lao Price Density |
| Price |
Predictive Modules for Luzhou Lao
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Luzhou Lao Jiao. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Luzhou Lao Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Luzhou Lao is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Luzhou Lao's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Luzhou Lao Jiao, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Luzhou Lao within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over Dow Jones | 0.43 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | 0.27 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 11.69 | |
Ir | Information ratio | 0.12 |
Luzhou Lao Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Luzhou Lao for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Luzhou Lao Jiao can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| Luzhou Lao Jiao generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days | |
| Luzhou Lao Jiao has high historical volatility and very poor performance | |
| Luzhou Lao Jiao is unlikely to experience financial distress in the next 2 years | |
| About 52.0% of the company shares are owned by insiders or employees |
Luzhou Lao Price Density Drivers
Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Luzhou Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Luzhou Lao's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Luzhou Lao's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 1.5 B |
Luzhou Lao Technical Analysis
Luzhou Lao's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Luzhou Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Luzhou Lao Jiao. In general, you should focus on analyzing Luzhou Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
Luzhou Lao Predictive Forecast Models
Luzhou Lao's time-series forecasting models is one of many Luzhou Lao's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Luzhou Lao's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Things to note about Luzhou Lao Jiao
Checking the ongoing alerts about Luzhou Lao for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Luzhou Lao Jiao help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
| Luzhou Lao Jiao generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days | |
| Luzhou Lao Jiao has high historical volatility and very poor performance | |
| Luzhou Lao Jiao is unlikely to experience financial distress in the next 2 years | |
| About 52.0% of the company shares are owned by insiders or employees |
Other Information on Investing in Luzhou Stock
Luzhou Lao financial ratios help investors to determine whether Luzhou Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Luzhou with respect to the benefits of owning Luzhou Lao security.