5I5j Holding (China) Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Under 3.86
| 000560 Stock | 3.44 0.02 0.58% |
5I5j |
5I5j Holding Target Price Odds to finish below 3.86
The tendency of 5I5j Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to stay under 3.86 after 90 days |
| 3.44 | 90 days | 3.86 | about 86.47 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of 5I5j Holding to stay under 3.86 after 90 days from now is about 86.47 (This 5I5j Holding Group probability density function shows the probability of 5I5j Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of 5I5j Holding Group price to stay between its current price of 3.44 and 3.86 at the end of the 90-day period is about 36.54 .
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon 5I5j Holding Group has a beta of -0.0454. This suggests as returns on the benchmark increase, returns on holding 5I5j Holding are expected to decrease at a much lower rate. During a bear market, however, 5I5j Holding Group is likely to outperform the market. Additionally 5I5j Holding Group has an alpha of 0.631, implying that it can generate a 0.63 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta). 5I5j Holding Price Density |
| Price |
Predictive Modules for 5I5j Holding
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as 5I5j Holding Group. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.5I5j Holding Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. 5I5j Holding is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the 5I5j Holding's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold 5I5j Holding Group, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of 5I5j Holding within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over Dow Jones | 0.63 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | -0.05 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 0.38 | |
Ir | Information ratio | 0.13 |
5I5j Holding Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of 5I5j Holding for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for 5I5j Holding Group can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| 5I5j Holding Group had very high historical volatility over the last 90 days | |
| The company reported the revenue of 12.09 B. Net Loss for the year was (848.29 M) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 1.01 B. | |
| About 30.0% of the company shares are owned by insiders or employees | |
| Latest headline from news.google.com: Postal Savings Bank of China Approves Key Resolutions - TipRanks |
5I5j Holding Price Density Drivers
Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of 5I5j Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential 5I5j Holding's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. 5I5j Holding's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 2.4 B | |
| Dividends Paid | 146.6 M | |
| Shares Float | 1.5 B |
5I5j Holding Technical Analysis
5I5j Holding's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. 5I5j Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of 5I5j Holding Group. In general, you should focus on analyzing 5I5j Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
5I5j Holding Predictive Forecast Models
5I5j Holding's time-series forecasting models is one of many 5I5j Holding's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary 5I5j Holding's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Things to note about 5I5j Holding Group
Checking the ongoing alerts about 5I5j Holding for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for 5I5j Holding Group help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
| 5I5j Holding Group had very high historical volatility over the last 90 days | |
| The company reported the revenue of 12.09 B. Net Loss for the year was (848.29 M) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 1.01 B. | |
| About 30.0% of the company shares are owned by insiders or employees | |
| Latest headline from news.google.com: Postal Savings Bank of China Approves Key Resolutions - TipRanks |
Other Information on Investing in 5I5j Stock
5I5j Holding financial ratios help investors to determine whether 5I5j Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in 5I5j with respect to the benefits of owning 5I5j Holding security.