Guangdong Provincial (China) Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Over 16.26
| 000429 Stock | 13.57 0.18 1.31% |
Guangdong |
Guangdong Provincial Target Price Odds to finish over 16.26
The tendency of Guangdong Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to move over 16.26 or more in 90 days |
| 13.57 | 90 days | 16.26 | near 1 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Guangdong Provincial to move over 16.26 or more in 90 days from now is near 1 (This Guangdong Provincial Expressway probability density function shows the probability of Guangdong Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Guangdong Provincial price to stay between its current price of 13.57 and 16.26 at the end of the 90-day period is nearly 4.81 .
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon Guangdong Provincial Expressway has a beta of -0.0131. This suggests as returns on the benchmark increase, returns on holding Guangdong Provincial are expected to decrease at a much lower rate. During a bear market, however, Guangdong Provincial Expressway is likely to outperform the market. Additionally Guangdong Provincial Expressway has an alpha of 0.3825, implying that it can generate a 0.38 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta). Guangdong Provincial Price Density |
| Price |
Predictive Modules for Guangdong Provincial
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Guangdong Provincial. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Guangdong Provincial Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Guangdong Provincial is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Guangdong Provincial's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Guangdong Provincial Expressway, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Guangdong Provincial within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over Dow Jones | 0.38 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | -0.01 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 1.04 | |
Ir | Information ratio | 0.18 |
Guangdong Provincial Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Guangdong Provincial for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Guangdong Provincial can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| Guangdong Provincial is unlikely to experience financial distress in the next 2 years | |
| About 74.0% of the company shares are owned by insiders or employees | |
| Latest headline from news.google.com: SeAH Besteel Holdings And Two Other Dividend Stocks For Your Portfolio - Simply Wall St |
Guangdong Provincial Price Density Drivers
Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Guangdong Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Guangdong Provincial's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Guangdong Provincial's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 2.1 B |
Guangdong Provincial Technical Analysis
Guangdong Provincial's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Guangdong Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Guangdong Provincial Expressway. In general, you should focus on analyzing Guangdong Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
Guangdong Provincial Predictive Forecast Models
Guangdong Provincial's time-series forecasting models is one of many Guangdong Provincial's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Guangdong Provincial's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Things to note about Guangdong Provincial
Checking the ongoing alerts about Guangdong Provincial for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Guangdong Provincial help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
| Guangdong Provincial is unlikely to experience financial distress in the next 2 years | |
| About 74.0% of the company shares are owned by insiders or employees | |
| Latest headline from news.google.com: SeAH Besteel Holdings And Two Other Dividend Stocks For Your Portfolio - Simply Wall St |
Other Information on Investing in Guangdong Stock
Guangdong Provincial financial ratios help investors to determine whether Guangdong Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Guangdong with respect to the benefits of owning Guangdong Provincial security.