Zions Bancorporation Preferred Stock Forecast - Double Exponential Smoothing

ZIONO Preferred Stock  USD 25.04  0.03  0.12%   
The Double Exponential Smoothing forecasted value of Zions Bancorporation National on the next trading day is expected to be 25.03 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.13 and the sum of the absolute errors of 7.41. Zions Preferred Stock Forecast is based on your current time horizon.
  
Double exponential smoothing - also known as Holt exponential smoothing is a refinement of the popular simple exponential smoothing model with an additional trending component. Double exponential smoothing model for Zions Bancorporation works best with periods where there are trends or seasonality.

Zions Bancorporation Double Exponential Smoothing Price Forecast For the 23rd of December

Given 90 days horizon, the Double Exponential Smoothing forecasted value of Zions Bancorporation National on the next trading day is expected to be 25.03 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.13, mean absolute percentage error of 0.04, and the sum of the absolute errors of 7.41.
Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict Zions Preferred Stock prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not recommend using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that Zions Bancorporation's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).

Zions Bancorporation Preferred Stock Forecast Pattern

Backtest Zions BancorporationZions Bancorporation Price PredictionBuy or Sell Advice 

Zions Bancorporation Forecasted Value

In the context of forecasting Zions Bancorporation's Preferred Stock value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. Zions Bancorporation's downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 24.31 and 25.75, respectively. We have considered Zions Bancorporation's daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Market Value
25.04
25.03
Expected Value
25.75
Upside

Model Predictive Factors

The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Double Exponential Smoothing forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of Zions Bancorporation preferred stock data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent Zions Bancorporation preferred stock, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.
AICAkaike Information CriteriaHuge
BiasArithmetic mean of the errors 0.0256
MADMean absolute deviation0.1256
MAPEMean absolute percentage error0.0049
SAESum of the absolute errors7.4105
When Zions Bancorporation National prices exhibit either an increasing or decreasing trend over time, simple exponential smoothing forecasts tend to lag behind observations. Double exponential smoothing is designed to address this type of data series by taking into account any Zions Bancorporation National trend in the prices. So in double exponential smoothing past observations are given exponentially smaller weights as the observations get older. In other words, recent Zions Bancorporation observations are given relatively more weight in forecasting than the older observations.

Predictive Modules for Zions Bancorporation

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Zions Bancorporation. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the preferred stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the preferred stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
24.3225.0425.76
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
22.5429.9430.66
Details

Other Forecasting Options for Zions Bancorporation

For every potential investor in Zions, whether a beginner or expert, Zions Bancorporation's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. Zions Preferred Stock price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in Zions. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying Zions Bancorporation's price trends.

Zions Bancorporation Related Equities

One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with Zions Bancorporation preferred stock to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of Zions Bancorporation could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Zions Bancorporation by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
 Risk & Return  Correlation

Zions Bancorporation Technical and Predictive Analytics

The preferred stock market is financially volatile. Despite the volatility, there exist limitless possibilities of gaining profits and building passive income portfolios. With the complexity of Zions Bancorporation's price movements, a comprehensive understanding of forecasting methods that an investor can rely on to make the right move is invaluable. These methods predict trends that assist an investor in predicting the movement of Zions Bancorporation's current price.

Zions Bancorporation Market Strength Events

Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how Zions Bancorporation preferred stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading Zions Bancorporation shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying Zions Bancorporation preferred stock market strength indicators, traders can identify Zions Bancorporation National entry and exit signals to maximize returns.

Zions Bancorporation Risk Indicators

The analysis of Zions Bancorporation's basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in Zions Bancorporation's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting zions preferred stock prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.

Pair Trading with Zions Bancorporation

One of the main advantages of trading using pair correlations is that every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if Zions Bancorporation position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Pair trading also minimizes risk from directional movements in the market. For example, if an entire industry or sector drops because of unexpected headlines, the short position in Zions Bancorporation will appreciate offsetting losses from the drop in the long position's value.

Moving together with Zions Preferred Stock

  0.67NU Nu HoldingsPairCorr

Moving against Zions Preferred Stock

  0.7BANC-PF Banc of CaliforniaPairCorr
  0.62EBTC Enterprise BancorpPairCorr
  0.62EFSC Enterprise Financial Fiscal Year End 27th of January 2025 PairCorr
  0.61PB Prosperity Bancshares Fiscal Year End 22nd of January 2025 PairCorr
  0.6BY Byline Bancorp Fiscal Year End 23rd of January 2025 PairCorr
The ability to find closely correlated positions to Zions Bancorporation could be a great tool in your tax-loss harvesting strategies, allowing investors a quick way to find a similar-enough asset to replace Zions Bancorporation when you sell it. If you don't do this, your portfolio allocation will be skewed against your target asset allocation. So, investors can't just sell and buy back Zions Bancorporation - that would be a violation of the tax code under the "wash sale" rule, and this is why you need to find a similar enough asset and use the proceeds from selling Zions Bancorporation National to buy it.
The correlation of Zions Bancorporation is a statistical measure of how it moves in relation to other instruments. This measure is expressed in what is known as the correlation coefficient, which ranges between -1 and +1. A perfect positive correlation (i.e., a correlation coefficient of +1) implies that as Zions Bancorporation moves, either up or down, the other security will move in the same direction. Alternatively, perfect negative correlation means that if Zions Bancorporation moves in either direction, the perfectly negatively correlated security will move in the opposite direction. If the correlation is 0, the equities are not correlated; they are entirely random. A correlation greater than 0.8 is generally described as strong, whereas a correlation less than 0.5 is generally considered weak.
Correlation analysis and pair trading evaluation for Zions Bancorporation can also be used as hedging techniques within a particular sector or industry or even over random equities to generate a better risk-adjusted return on your portfolios.
Pair CorrelationCorrelation Matching

Other Information on Investing in Zions Preferred Stock

Zions Bancorporation financial ratios help investors to determine whether Zions Preferred Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Zions with respect to the benefits of owning Zions Bancorporation security.