Beyond Air Stock Forecast - Naive Prediction

XAIR Stock  USD 0.47  0.01  1.06%   
The Naive Prediction forecasted value of Beyond Air on the next trading day is expected to be 0.46 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.02 and the sum of the absolute errors of 1.46. Beyond Stock Forecast is based on your current time horizon. Although Beyond Air's naive historical forecasting may sometimes provide an important future outlook for the firm, we recommend always cross-verifying it against solid analysis of Beyond Air's systematic risk associated with finding meaningful patterns of Beyond Air fundamentals over time.
  
At this time, Beyond Air's Inventory Turnover is relatively stable compared to the past year. As of 12/16/2024, Payables Turnover is likely to grow to 1.33, while Receivables Turnover is likely to drop 1.69. . As of 12/16/2024, Common Stock Shares Outstanding is likely to grow to about 34.8 M, though Net Loss is likely to grow to (47.7 M).

Beyond Air Cash Forecast

Forecasting financial indicators like cash flow involves analysts applying various statistical methods, techniques, and algorithms. These tools reveal hidden trends within the Beyond Air's financial statements to estimate their effects on upcoming price movements.
 
Cash  
First Reported
2014-03-31
Previous Quarter
4.4 M
Current Value
28.4 M
Quarterly Volatility
22.2 M
 
Yuan Drop
 
Covid
A naive forecasting model for Beyond Air is a special case of the moving average forecasting where the number of periods used for smoothing is one. Therefore, the forecast of Beyond Air value for a given trading day is simply the observed value for the previous period. Due to the simplistic nature of the naive forecasting model, it can only be used to forecast up to one period.

Beyond Air Naive Prediction Price Forecast For the 17th of December 2024

Given 90 days horizon, the Naive Prediction forecasted value of Beyond Air on the next trading day is expected to be 0.46 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.02, mean absolute percentage error of 0, and the sum of the absolute errors of 1.46.
Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict Beyond Stock prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not recommend using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that Beyond Air's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).

Beyond Air Stock Forecast Pattern

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Beyond Air Forecasted Value

In the context of forecasting Beyond Air's Stock value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. Beyond Air's downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 0 and 8.17, respectively. We have considered Beyond Air's daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Market Value
0.47
0.46
Expected Value
8.17
Upside

Model Predictive Factors

The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Naive Prediction forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of Beyond Air stock data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent Beyond Air stock, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.
AICAkaike Information Criteria111.3925
BiasArithmetic mean of the errors None
MADMean absolute deviation0.024
MAPEMean absolute percentage error0.0538
SAESum of the absolute errors1.4611
This model is not at all useful as a medium-long range forecasting tool of Beyond Air. This model is simplistic and is included partly for completeness and partly because of its simplicity. It is unlikely that you'll want to use this model directly to predict Beyond Air. Instead, consider using either the moving average model or the more general weighted moving average model with a higher (i.e., greater than 1) number of periods, and possibly a different set of weights.

Predictive Modules for Beyond Air

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Beyond Air. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
0.020.488.19
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
0.193.8811.59
Details
5 Analysts
Consensus
LowTargetHigh
12.8914.1715.73
Details
Earnings
Estimates (0)
LowProjected EPSHigh
0.000.000.00
Details

Other Forecasting Options for Beyond Air

For every potential investor in Beyond, whether a beginner or expert, Beyond Air's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. Beyond Stock price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in Beyond. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying Beyond Air's price trends.

View Beyond Air Related Equities

 Risk & Return  Correlation

Beyond Air Technical and Predictive Analytics

The stock market is financially volatile. Despite the volatility, there exist limitless possibilities of gaining profits and building passive income portfolios. With the complexity of Beyond Air's price movements, a comprehensive understanding of forecasting methods that an investor can rely on to make the right move is invaluable. These methods predict trends that assist an investor in predicting the movement of Beyond Air's current price.

Beyond Air Market Strength Events

Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how Beyond Air stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading Beyond Air shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying Beyond Air stock market strength indicators, traders can identify Beyond Air entry and exit signals to maximize returns.

Beyond Air Risk Indicators

The analysis of Beyond Air's basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in Beyond Air's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting beyond stock prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.

Pair Trading with Beyond Air

One of the main advantages of trading using pair correlations is that every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if Beyond Air position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Pair trading also minimizes risk from directional movements in the market. For example, if an entire industry or sector drops because of unexpected headlines, the short position in Beyond Air will appreciate offsetting losses from the drop in the long position's value.

Moving together with Beyond Stock

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  0.85LH LaboratoryPairCorr

Moving against Beyond Stock

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  0.65VERO Venus ConceptPairCorr
  0.49CI Cigna CorpPairCorr
  0.42EDAP EDAP TMS SAPairCorr
The ability to find closely correlated positions to Beyond Air could be a great tool in your tax-loss harvesting strategies, allowing investors a quick way to find a similar-enough asset to replace Beyond Air when you sell it. If you don't do this, your portfolio allocation will be skewed against your target asset allocation. So, investors can't just sell and buy back Beyond Air - that would be a violation of the tax code under the "wash sale" rule, and this is why you need to find a similar enough asset and use the proceeds from selling Beyond Air to buy it.
The correlation of Beyond Air is a statistical measure of how it moves in relation to other instruments. This measure is expressed in what is known as the correlation coefficient, which ranges between -1 and +1. A perfect positive correlation (i.e., a correlation coefficient of +1) implies that as Beyond Air moves, either up or down, the other security will move in the same direction. Alternatively, perfect negative correlation means that if Beyond Air moves in either direction, the perfectly negatively correlated security will move in the opposite direction. If the correlation is 0, the equities are not correlated; they are entirely random. A correlation greater than 0.8 is generally described as strong, whereas a correlation less than 0.5 is generally considered weak.
Correlation analysis and pair trading evaluation for Beyond Air can also be used as hedging techniques within a particular sector or industry or even over random equities to generate a better risk-adjusted return on your portfolios.
Pair CorrelationCorrelation Matching

Additional Tools for Beyond Stock Analysis

When running Beyond Air's price analysis, check to measure Beyond Air's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Beyond Air is operating at the current time. Most of Beyond Air's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Beyond Air's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Beyond Air's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Beyond Air to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.