CREMETRSBI DL-001 Stock Forecast - Naive Prediction

WY52 Stock  EUR 1.70  0.00  0.00%   
The Naive Prediction forecasted value of CREMECOMTRSBI DL 001 on the next trading day is expected to be 1.58 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.06 and the sum of the absolute errors of 3.95. CREMETRSBI Stock Forecast is based on your current time horizon. We recommend always using this module together with an analysis of CREMETRSBI DL-001's historical fundamentals, such as revenue growth or operating cash flow patterns.
  
A naive forecasting model for CREMETRSBI DL-001 is a special case of the moving average forecasting where the number of periods used for smoothing is one. Therefore, the forecast of CREMECOMTRSBI DL 001 value for a given trading day is simply the observed value for the previous period. Due to the simplistic nature of the naive forecasting model, it can only be used to forecast up to one period.

CREMETRSBI DL-001 Naive Prediction Price Forecast For the 21st of March

Given 90 days horizon, the Naive Prediction forecasted value of CREMECOMTRSBI DL 001 on the next trading day is expected to be 1.58 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.06, mean absolute percentage error of 0.01, and the sum of the absolute errors of 3.95.
Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict CREMETRSBI Stock prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not recommend using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that CREMETRSBI DL-001's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).

CREMETRSBI DL-001 Stock Forecast Pattern

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Model Predictive Factors

The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Naive Prediction forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of CREMETRSBI DL-001 stock data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent CREMETRSBI DL-001 stock, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.
AICAkaike Information Criteria113.681
BiasArithmetic mean of the errors None
MADMean absolute deviation0.0648
MAPEMean absolute percentage error0.0395
SAESum of the absolute errors3.9503
This model is not at all useful as a medium-long range forecasting tool of CREMECOMTRSBI DL 001. This model is simplistic and is included partly for completeness and partly because of its simplicity. It is unlikely that you'll want to use this model directly to predict CREMETRSBI DL-001. Instead, consider using either the moving average model or the more general weighted moving average model with a higher (i.e., greater than 1) number of periods, and possibly a different set of weights.

Predictive Modules for CREMETRSBI DL-001

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as CREMECOMTRSBI DL 001. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
0.091.709.63
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Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
0.081.519.44
Details
Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as CREMETRSBI DL-001. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against CREMETRSBI DL-001's peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, CREMETRSBI DL-001's competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy toward taking a position in CREMECOMTRSBI DL 001.

CREMETRSBI DL-001 Related Equities

One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with CREMETRSBI DL-001 stock to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of CREMETRSBI DL-001 could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing CREMETRSBI DL-001 by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
 Risk & Return  Correlation

CREMETRSBI DL-001 Market Strength Events

Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how CREMETRSBI DL-001 stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading CREMETRSBI DL-001 shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying CREMETRSBI DL-001 stock market strength indicators, traders can identify CREMECOMTRSBI DL 001 entry and exit signals to maximize returns.

CREMETRSBI DL-001 Risk Indicators

The analysis of CREMETRSBI DL-001's basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in CREMETRSBI DL-001's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting cremetrsbi stock prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.

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Other Information on Investing in CREMETRSBI Stock

CREMETRSBI DL-001 financial ratios help investors to determine whether CREMETRSBI Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in CREMETRSBI with respect to the benefits of owning CREMETRSBI DL-001 security.