WT Offshore Stock Forecast - Naive Prediction

WTI Stock  USD 1.94  0.03  1.57%   
The Naive Prediction forecasted value of WT Offshore on the next trading day is expected to be 1.75 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.1 and the sum of the absolute errors of 5.94. WTI Stock Forecast is based on your current time horizon. We recommend always using this module together with an analysis of WT Offshore's historical fundamentals, such as revenue growth or operating cash flow patterns.
  
As of now, WT Offshore's Payables Turnover is increasing as compared to previous years. The WT Offshore's current Asset Turnover is estimated to increase to 0.56, while Inventory Turnover is forecasted to increase to (23.06). . The WT Offshore's current Net Income Applicable To Common Shares is estimated to increase to about 218.4 M, while Common Stock Shares Outstanding is projected to decrease to under 102 M.

WT Offshore Cash Forecast

Predicting cash flow or other financial metrics requires analysts to utilize a variety of statistical methods, techniques, and algorithms. These tools help uncover hidden patterns in the WT Offshore's financial statements, enabling forecasts of their impact on future stock prices.
 
Cash  
First Reported
2002-12-31
Previous Quarter
127.8 M
Current Value
126.5 M
Quarterly Volatility
130.3 M
 
Housing Crash
 
Credit Downgrade
 
Yuan Drop
 
Covid
A naive forecasting model for WT Offshore is a special case of the moving average forecasting where the number of periods used for smoothing is one. Therefore, the forecast of WT Offshore value for a given trading day is simply the observed value for the previous period. Due to the simplistic nature of the naive forecasting model, it can only be used to forecast up to one period.

WT Offshore Naive Prediction Price Forecast For the 2nd of December

Given 90 days horizon, the Naive Prediction forecasted value of WT Offshore on the next trading day is expected to be 1.75 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.1, mean absolute percentage error of 0.02, and the sum of the absolute errors of 5.94.
Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict WTI Stock prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not recommend using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that WT Offshore's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).

WT Offshore Stock Forecast Pattern

Backtest WT OffshoreWT Offshore Price PredictionBuy or Sell Advice 

WT Offshore Forecasted Value

In the context of forecasting WT Offshore's Stock value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. WT Offshore's downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 0.02 and 5.79, respectively. We have considered WT Offshore's daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Market Value
1.94
1.75
Expected Value
5.79
Upside

Model Predictive Factors

The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Naive Prediction forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of WT Offshore stock data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent WT Offshore stock, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.
AICAkaike Information Criteria114.251
BiasArithmetic mean of the errors None
MADMean absolute deviation0.0973
MAPEMean absolute percentage error0.0437
SAESum of the absolute errors5.936
This model is not at all useful as a medium-long range forecasting tool of WT Offshore. This model is simplistic and is included partly for completeness and partly because of its simplicity. It is unlikely that you'll want to use this model directly to predict WT Offshore. Instead, consider using either the moving average model or the more general weighted moving average model with a higher (i.e., greater than 1) number of periods, and possibly a different set of weights.

Predictive Modules for WT Offshore

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as WT Offshore. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of WT Offshore's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
0.101.945.98
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
0.203.917.95
Details
1 Analysts
Consensus
LowTargetHigh
9.019.9010.99
Details

Other Forecasting Options for WT Offshore

For every potential investor in WTI, whether a beginner or expert, WT Offshore's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. WTI Stock price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in WTI. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying WT Offshore's price trends.

View WT Offshore Related Equities

 Risk & Return  Correlation

WT Offshore Technical and Predictive Analytics

The stock market is financially volatile. Despite the volatility, there exist limitless possibilities of gaining profits and building passive income portfolios. With the complexity of WT Offshore's price movements, a comprehensive understanding of forecasting methods that an investor can rely on to make the right move is invaluable. These methods predict trends that assist an investor in predicting the movement of WT Offshore's current price.

WT Offshore Market Strength Events

Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how WT Offshore stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading WT Offshore shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying WT Offshore stock market strength indicators, traders can identify WT Offshore entry and exit signals to maximize returns.

WT Offshore Risk Indicators

The analysis of WT Offshore's basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in WT Offshore's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting wti stock prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.

Currently Active Assets on Macroaxis

When determining whether WT Offshore offers a strong return on investment in its stock, a comprehensive analysis is essential. The process typically begins with a thorough review of WT Offshore's financial statements, including income statements, balance sheets, and cash flow statements, to assess its financial health. Key financial ratios are used to gauge profitability, efficiency, and growth potential of Wt Offshore Stock. Outlined below are crucial reports that will aid in making a well-informed decision on Wt Offshore Stock:
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of WT Offshore to cross-verify your projections.
For more detail on how to invest in WTI Stock please use our How to Invest in WT Offshore guide.
You can also try the Headlines Timeline module to stay connected to all market stories and filter out noise. Drill down to analyze hype elasticity.
Is Oil & Gas Exploration & Production space expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of WT Offshore. If investors know WTI will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about WT Offshore listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Quarterly Earnings Growth
(0.98)
Dividend Share
0.04
Earnings Share
(0.43)
Revenue Per Share
3.657
Quarterly Revenue Growth
(0.15)
The market value of WT Offshore is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of WTI that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of WT Offshore's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is WT Offshore's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because WT Offshore's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect WT Offshore's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between WT Offshore's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if WT Offshore is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, WT Offshore's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.