Weis Markets Stock Forecast - 20 Period Moving Average
| WMK Stock | USD 70.08 1.34 1.88% |
The 20 Period Moving Average forecasted value of Weis Markets on the next trading day is expected to be 71.69 with a mean absolute deviation of 2.69 and the sum of the absolute errors of 110.09. Weis Stock Forecast is based on your current time horizon. Although Weis Markets' naive historical forecasting may sometimes provide an important future outlook for the firm, we recommend always cross-verifying it against solid analysis of Weis Markets' systematic risk associated with finding meaningful patterns of Weis Markets fundamentals over time.
Weis |
Weis Markets 20 Period Moving Average Price Forecast For the 21st of December
Given 90 days horizon, the 20 Period Moving Average forecasted value of Weis Markets on the next trading day is expected to be 71.69 with a mean absolute deviation of 2.69, mean absolute percentage error of 14.66, and the sum of the absolute errors of 110.09.Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict Weis Stock prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not recommend using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that Weis Markets' next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).
Weis Markets Stock Forecast Pattern
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Weis Markets Forecasted Value
In the context of forecasting Weis Markets' Stock value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. Weis Markets' downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 69.84 and 73.55, respectively. We have considered Weis Markets' daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Model Predictive Factors
The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the 20 Period Moving Average forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of Weis Markets stock data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent Weis Markets stock, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.| AIC | Akaike Information Criteria | 84.0378 |
| Bias | Arithmetic mean of the errors | -1.5881 |
| MAD | Mean absolute deviation | 2.6851 |
| MAPE | Mean absolute percentage error | 0.0373 |
| SAE | Sum of the absolute errors | 110.091 |
Predictive Modules for Weis Markets
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Weis Markets. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Other Forecasting Options for Weis Markets
For every potential investor in Weis, whether a beginner or expert, Weis Markets' price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. Weis Stock price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in Weis. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying Weis Markets' price trends.Weis Markets Related Equities
One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with Weis Markets stock to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of Weis Markets could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Weis Markets by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
| Risk & Return | Correlation |
Weis Markets Technical and Predictive Analytics
The stock market is financially volatile. Despite the volatility, there exist limitless possibilities of gaining profits and building passive income portfolios. With the complexity of Weis Markets' price movements, a comprehensive understanding of forecasting methods that an investor can rely on to make the right move is invaluable. These methods predict trends that assist an investor in predicting the movement of Weis Markets' current price.| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
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| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
Weis Markets Market Strength Events
Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how Weis Markets stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading Weis Markets shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying Weis Markets stock market strength indicators, traders can identify Weis Markets entry and exit signals to maximize returns.
Weis Markets Risk Indicators
The analysis of Weis Markets' basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in Weis Markets' investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting weis stock prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
| Mean Deviation | 1.29 | |||
| Semi Deviation | 1.62 | |||
| Standard Deviation | 1.87 | |||
| Variance | 3.5 | |||
| Downside Variance | 2.73 | |||
| Semi Variance | 2.61 | |||
| Expected Short fall | (1.28) |
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.
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Is Consumer Staples Distribution & Retail space expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Weis Markets. If investors know Weis will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about Weis Markets listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Quarterly Earnings Growth 0.116 | Dividend Share 1.36 | Earnings Share 3.56 | Revenue Per Share 176.946 | Quarterly Revenue Growth 0.022 |
The market value of Weis Markets is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Weis that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Weis Markets' value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Weis Markets' true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Weis Markets' market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Weis Markets' underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Weis Markets' value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Weis Markets is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Weis Markets' price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.