WixCom Stock Forecast - Naive Prediction

WIX Stock  USD 222.75  6.22  2.87%   
The Naive Prediction forecasted value of WixCom on the next trading day is expected to be 234.99 with a mean absolute deviation of 4.99 and the sum of the absolute errors of 304.28. WixCom Stock Forecast is based on your current time horizon.
  
A naive forecasting model for WixCom is a special case of the moving average forecasting where the number of periods used for smoothing is one. Therefore, the forecast of WixCom value for a given trading day is simply the observed value for the previous period. Due to the simplistic nature of the naive forecasting model, it can only be used to forecast up to one period.

WixCom Naive Prediction Price Forecast For the 7th of January

Given 90 days horizon, the Naive Prediction forecasted value of WixCom on the next trading day is expected to be 234.99 with a mean absolute deviation of 4.99, mean absolute percentage error of 40.24, and the sum of the absolute errors of 304.28.
Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict WixCom Stock prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not recommend using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that WixCom's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).

WixCom Stock Forecast Pattern

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WixCom Forecasted Value

In the context of forecasting WixCom's Stock value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. WixCom's downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 232.21 and 237.78, respectively. We have considered WixCom's daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Market Value
222.75
232.21
Downside
234.99
Expected Value
237.78
Upside

Model Predictive Factors

The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Naive Prediction forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of WixCom stock data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent WixCom stock, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.
AICAkaike Information Criteria121.8054
BiasArithmetic mean of the errors None
MADMean absolute deviation4.9882
MAPEMean absolute percentage error0.0251
SAESum of the absolute errors304.2785
This model is not at all useful as a medium-long range forecasting tool of WixCom. This model is simplistic and is included partly for completeness and partly because of its simplicity. It is unlikely that you'll want to use this model directly to predict WixCom. Instead, consider using either the moving average model or the more general weighted moving average model with a higher (i.e., greater than 1) number of periods, and possibly a different set of weights.

Predictive Modules for WixCom

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as WixCom. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
219.97222.75225.53
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
200.48246.63249.41
Details

Other Forecasting Options for WixCom

For every potential investor in WixCom, whether a beginner or expert, WixCom's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. WixCom Stock price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in WixCom. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying WixCom's price trends.

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 Risk & Return  Correlation

WixCom Technical and Predictive Analytics

The stock market is financially volatile. Despite the volatility, there exist limitless possibilities of gaining profits and building passive income portfolios. With the complexity of WixCom's price movements, a comprehensive understanding of forecasting methods that an investor can rely on to make the right move is invaluable. These methods predict trends that assist an investor in predicting the movement of WixCom's current price.

WixCom Market Strength Events

Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how WixCom stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading WixCom shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying WixCom stock market strength indicators, traders can identify WixCom entry and exit signals to maximize returns.

WixCom Risk Indicators

The analysis of WixCom's basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in WixCom's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting wixcom stock prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.

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Analyzing currently trending equities could be an opportunity to develop a better portfolio based on different market momentums that they can trigger. Utilizing the top trending stocks is also useful when creating a market-neutral strategy or pair trading technique involving a short or a long position in a currently trending equity.

Additional Tools for WixCom Stock Analysis

When running WixCom's price analysis, check to measure WixCom's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy WixCom is operating at the current time. Most of WixCom's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of WixCom's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move WixCom's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of WixCom to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.