Demant A/S Pink Sheet Forecast - 4 Period Moving Average

WILYY Stock  USD 18.15  0.40  2.25%   
The 4 Period Moving Average forecasted value of Demant AS ADR on the next trading day is expected to be 18.15 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.27 and the sum of the absolute errors of 15.59. Demant Pink Sheet Forecast is based on your current time horizon.
  
A four-period moving average forecast model for Demant AS ADR is based on an artificially constructed daily price series in which the value for a given day is replaced by the mean of that value and the values for four preceding and succeeding time periods. This model is best suited to forecast equities with high volatility.

Demant A/S 4 Period Moving Average Price Forecast For the 3rd of March

Given 90 days horizon, the 4 Period Moving Average forecasted value of Demant AS ADR on the next trading day is expected to be 18.15 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.27, mean absolute percentage error of 0.18, and the sum of the absolute errors of 15.59.
Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict Demant Pink Sheet prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not recommend using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that Demant A/S's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).

Demant A/S Pink Sheet Forecast Pattern

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Demant A/S Forecasted Value

In the context of forecasting Demant A/S's Pink Sheet value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. Demant A/S's downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 16.56 and 19.74, respectively. We have considered Demant A/S's daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Market Value
18.15
18.15
Expected Value
19.74
Upside

Model Predictive Factors

The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the 4 Period Moving Average forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of Demant A/S pink sheet data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent Demant A/S pink sheet, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.
AICAkaike Information Criteria109.0706
BiasArithmetic mean of the errors 0.0535
MADMean absolute deviation0.2734
MAPEMean absolute percentage error0.0147
SAESum of the absolute errors15.585
The four period moving average method has an advantage over other forecasting models in that it does smooth out peaks and troughs in a set of daily price observations of Demant A/S. However, it also has several disadvantages. In particular this model does not produce an actual prediction equation for Demant AS ADR and therefore, it cannot be a useful forecasting tool for medium or long range price predictions

Predictive Modules for Demant A/S

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Demant AS ADR. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the pink sheet market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the pink sheet market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Demant A/S's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
16.5618.1519.74
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
14.4015.9919.97
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowMiddleHigh
16.9518.7020.45
Details

Other Forecasting Options for Demant A/S

For every potential investor in Demant, whether a beginner or expert, Demant A/S's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. Demant Pink Sheet price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in Demant. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying Demant A/S's price trends.

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 Risk & Return  Correlation

Demant AS ADR Technical and Predictive Analytics

The pink sheet market is financially volatile. Despite the volatility, there exist limitless possibilities of gaining profits and building passive income portfolios. With the complexity of Demant A/S's price movements, a comprehensive understanding of forecasting methods that an investor can rely on to make the right move is invaluable. These methods predict trends that assist an investor in predicting the movement of Demant A/S's current price.

Demant A/S Market Strength Events

Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how Demant A/S pink sheet reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading Demant A/S shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying Demant A/S pink sheet market strength indicators, traders can identify Demant AS ADR entry and exit signals to maximize returns.

Demant A/S Risk Indicators

The analysis of Demant A/S's basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in Demant A/S's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting demant pink sheet prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.

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Additional Tools for Demant Pink Sheet Analysis

When running Demant A/S's price analysis, check to measure Demant A/S's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Demant A/S is operating at the current time. Most of Demant A/S's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Demant A/S's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Demant A/S's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Demant A/S to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.