Vivendi SE Pink Sheet Forecast - Triple Exponential Smoothing

Triple exponential smoothing for Vivendi SE - also known as the Winters method - is a refinement of the popular double exponential smoothing model with the addition of periodicity (seasonality) component. Simple exponential smoothing technique works best with data where there are no trend or seasonality components to the data. When Vivendi SE prices exhibit either an increasing or decreasing trend over time, simple exponential smoothing forecasts tend to lag behind observations. Double exponential smoothing is designed to address this type of data series by taking into account any trend in Vivendi SE price movement. However, neither of these exponential smoothing models address any seasonality of Vivendi SE.

Vivendi SE Triple Exponential Smoothing Price Forecast For the 27th of December

Given 90 days horizon, the Triple Exponential Smoothing forecasted value of Vivendi SE on the next trading day is expected to be 5.95 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.52, mean absolute percentage error of 2.32, and the sum of the absolute errors of 30.40.

Vivendi SE Pink Sheet Forecast Pattern

Vivendi SE Forecasted Value

Model Predictive Factors

The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Triple Exponential Smoothing forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of Vivendi SE pink sheet data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent Vivendi SE pink sheet, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality. As with simple exponential smoothing, in triple exponential smoothing models past Vivendi SE observations are given exponentially smaller weights as the observations get older. In other words, recent observations are given relatively more weight in forecasting than the older Vivendi SE observations.

Predictive Modules for Vivendi SE

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Vivendi SE. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the pink sheet market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the pink sheet market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.

Other Forecasting Options for Vivendi SE

For every potential investor in Vivendi, whether a beginner or expert, Vivendi SE's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. Vivendi Pink Sheet price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in Vivendi. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying Vivendi SE's price trends.

Vivendi SE Related Equities

Risk & Return

Correlation

Vivendi SE Technical and Predictive Analytics

The pink sheet market is financially volatile. Despite the volatility, there exist limitless possibilities of gaining profits and building passive income portfolios. With the complexity of Vivendi SE's price movements, a comprehensive understanding of forecasting methods that an investor can rely on to make the right move is invaluable. These methods predict trends that assist an investor in predicting the movement of Vivendi SE's current price.

Vivendi SE Market Strength Events

Vivendi SE Risk Indicators

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