VictoryShares Multi Etf Forecast - Polynomial Regression

VSMV Etf  USD 50.43  0.08  0.16%   
The Polynomial Regression forecasted value of VictoryShares Multi Factor Minimum on the next trading day is expected to be 51.03 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.33 and the sum of the absolute errors of 19.84. VictoryShares Etf Forecast is based on your current time horizon.
  
VictoryShares Multi polinomial regression implements a single variable polynomial regression model using the daily prices as the independent variable. The coefficients of the regression for VictoryShares Multi Factor Minimum as well as the accuracy indicators are determined from the period prices.

VictoryShares Multi Polynomial Regression Price Forecast For the 5th of December

Given 90 days horizon, the Polynomial Regression forecasted value of VictoryShares Multi Factor Minimum on the next trading day is expected to be 51.03 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.33, mean absolute percentage error of 0.18, and the sum of the absolute errors of 19.84.
Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict VictoryShares Etf prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not recommend using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that VictoryShares Multi's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).

VictoryShares Multi Etf Forecast Pattern

Backtest VictoryShares MultiVictoryShares Multi Price PredictionBuy or Sell Advice 

VictoryShares Multi Forecasted Value

In the context of forecasting VictoryShares Multi's Etf value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. VictoryShares Multi's downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 50.42 and 51.64, respectively. We have considered VictoryShares Multi's daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Market Value
50.43
51.03
Expected Value
51.64
Upside

Model Predictive Factors

The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Polynomial Regression forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of VictoryShares Multi etf data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent VictoryShares Multi etf, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.
AICAkaike Information Criteria116.3954
BiasArithmetic mean of the errors None
MADMean absolute deviation0.3252
MAPEMean absolute percentage error0.0067
SAESum of the absolute errors19.8381
A single variable polynomial regression model attempts to put a curve through the VictoryShares Multi historical price points. Mathematically, assuming the independent variable is X and the dependent variable is Y, this line can be indicated as: Y = a0 + a1*X + a2*X2 + a3*X3 + ... + am*Xm

Predictive Modules for VictoryShares Multi

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as VictoryShares Multi. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the etf market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the etf market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
49.7450.3550.96
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
49.3849.9950.60
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowMiddleHigh
49.3950.0250.65
Details

Other Forecasting Options for VictoryShares Multi

For every potential investor in VictoryShares, whether a beginner or expert, VictoryShares Multi's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. VictoryShares Etf price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in VictoryShares. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying VictoryShares Multi's price trends.

VictoryShares Multi Related Equities

One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with VictoryShares Multi etf to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of VictoryShares Multi could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing VictoryShares Multi by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
 Risk & Return  Correlation

VictoryShares Multi Technical and Predictive Analytics

The etf market is financially volatile. Despite the volatility, there exist limitless possibilities of gaining profits and building passive income portfolios. With the complexity of VictoryShares Multi's price movements, a comprehensive understanding of forecasting methods that an investor can rely on to make the right move is invaluable. These methods predict trends that assist an investor in predicting the movement of VictoryShares Multi's current price.

VictoryShares Multi Market Strength Events

Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how VictoryShares Multi etf reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading VictoryShares Multi shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying VictoryShares Multi etf market strength indicators, traders can identify VictoryShares Multi Factor Minimum entry and exit signals to maximize returns.

VictoryShares Multi Risk Indicators

The analysis of VictoryShares Multi's basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in VictoryShares Multi's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting victoryshares etf prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.

Thematic Opportunities

Explore Investment Opportunities

Build portfolios using Macroaxis predefined set of investing ideas. Many of Macroaxis investing ideas can easily outperform a given market. Ideas can also be optimized per your risk profile before portfolio origination is invoked. Macroaxis thematic optimization helps investors identify companies most likely to benefit from changes or shifts in various micro-economic or local macro-level trends. Originating optimal thematic portfolios involves aligning investors' personal views, ideas, and beliefs with their actual investments.
Explore Investing Ideas  
When determining whether VictoryShares Multi is a strong investment it is important to analyze VictoryShares Multi's competitive position within its industry, examining market share, product or service uniqueness, and competitive advantages. Beyond financials and market position, potential investors should also consider broader economic conditions, industry trends, and any regulatory or geopolitical factors that may impact VictoryShares Multi's future performance. For an informed investment choice regarding VictoryShares Etf, refer to the following important reports:
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of VictoryShares Multi to cross-verify your projections.
You can also try the Bond Analysis module to evaluate and analyze corporate bonds as a potential investment for your portfolios..
The market value of VictoryShares Multi is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of VictoryShares that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of VictoryShares Multi's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is VictoryShares Multi's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because VictoryShares Multi's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect VictoryShares Multi's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between VictoryShares Multi's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if VictoryShares Multi is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, VictoryShares Multi's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.