VentureNet Capital Stock Forecast - Naive Prediction

VNTN Stock  USD 0.0001  0.0001  50.00%   
The Naive Prediction forecasted value of VentureNet Capital Group on the next trading day is expected to be 0.000071 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.00000591 and the sum of the absolute errors of 0.0004. VentureNet Stock Forecast is based on your current time horizon. Although VentureNet Capital's naive historical forecasting may sometimes provide an important future outlook for the firm, we recommend always cross-verifying it against solid analysis of VentureNet Capital's systematic risk associated with finding meaningful patterns of VentureNet Capital fundamentals over time.
  
At this time, VentureNet Capital's Total Assets are very stable compared to the past year. As of the 5th of December 2024, Cash is likely to grow to about 80.1 K, while Total Current Liabilities is likely to drop about 423.6 K.

VentureNet Capital Cash Forecast

Forecasting financial indicators like cash flow involves analysts applying various statistical methods, techniques, and algorithms. These tools reveal hidden trends within the VentureNet Capital's financial statements to estimate their effects on upcoming price movements.
 
Cash  
First Reported
2010-12-31
Previous Quarter
62.9 K
Current Value
80.1 K
Quarterly Volatility
10.2 K
 
Credit Downgrade
 
Yuan Drop
 
Covid
A naive forecasting model for VentureNet Capital is a special case of the moving average forecasting where the number of periods used for smoothing is one. Therefore, the forecast of VentureNet Capital Group value for a given trading day is simply the observed value for the previous period. Due to the simplistic nature of the naive forecasting model, it can only be used to forecast up to one period.

VentureNet Capital Naive Prediction Price Forecast For the 6th of December

Given 90 days horizon, the Naive Prediction forecasted value of VentureNet Capital Group on the next trading day is expected to be 0.000071 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.00000591, mean absolute percentage error of 0, and the sum of the absolute errors of 0.0004.
Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict VentureNet Stock prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not recommend using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that VentureNet Capital's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).

VentureNet Capital Stock Forecast Pattern

Backtest VentureNet CapitalVentureNet Capital Price PredictionBuy or Sell Advice 

VentureNet Capital Forecasted Value

In the context of forecasting VentureNet Capital's Stock value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. VentureNet Capital's downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 0.000001 and 6.20, respectively. We have considered VentureNet Capital's daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Market Value
0.0001
0.000001
Downside
0.000071
Expected Value
6.20
Upside

Model Predictive Factors

The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Naive Prediction forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of VentureNet Capital stock data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent VentureNet Capital stock, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.
AICAkaike Information Criteria95.1058
BiasArithmetic mean of the errors None
MADMean absolute deviation0.0
MAPEMean absolute percentage error0.0349
SAESum of the absolute errors4.0E-4
This model is not at all useful as a medium-long range forecasting tool of VentureNet Capital Group. This model is simplistic and is included partly for completeness and partly because of its simplicity. It is unlikely that you'll want to use this model directly to predict VentureNet Capital. Instead, consider using either the moving average model or the more general weighted moving average model with a higher (i.e., greater than 1) number of periods, and possibly a different set of weights.

Predictive Modules for VentureNet Capital

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as VentureNet Capital. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of VentureNet Capital's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
0.000.00016.25
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
0.000.0000966.25
Details

Other Forecasting Options for VentureNet Capital

For every potential investor in VentureNet, whether a beginner or expert, VentureNet Capital's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. VentureNet Stock price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in VentureNet. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying VentureNet Capital's price trends.

VentureNet Capital Related Equities

One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with VentureNet Capital stock to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of VentureNet Capital could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing VentureNet Capital by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
 Risk & Return  Correlation

VentureNet Capital Technical and Predictive Analytics

The stock market is financially volatile. Despite the volatility, there exist limitless possibilities of gaining profits and building passive income portfolios. With the complexity of VentureNet Capital's price movements, a comprehensive understanding of forecasting methods that an investor can rely on to make the right move is invaluable. These methods predict trends that assist an investor in predicting the movement of VentureNet Capital's current price.

VentureNet Capital Market Strength Events

Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how VentureNet Capital stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading VentureNet Capital shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying VentureNet Capital stock market strength indicators, traders can identify VentureNet Capital Group entry and exit signals to maximize returns.

VentureNet Capital Risk Indicators

The analysis of VentureNet Capital's basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in VentureNet Capital's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting venturenet stock prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.

Pair Trading with VentureNet Capital

One of the main advantages of trading using pair correlations is that every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if VentureNet Capital position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Pair trading also minimizes risk from directional movements in the market. For example, if an entire industry or sector drops because of unexpected headlines, the short position in VentureNet Capital will appreciate offsetting losses from the drop in the long position's value.

Moving against VentureNet Stock

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  0.4QD Qudian IncPairCorr
  0.38PX P10 IncPairCorr
  0.32BN Brookfield CorpPairCorr
The ability to find closely correlated positions to VentureNet Capital could be a great tool in your tax-loss harvesting strategies, allowing investors a quick way to find a similar-enough asset to replace VentureNet Capital when you sell it. If you don't do this, your portfolio allocation will be skewed against your target asset allocation. So, investors can't just sell and buy back VentureNet Capital - that would be a violation of the tax code under the "wash sale" rule, and this is why you need to find a similar enough asset and use the proceeds from selling VentureNet Capital Group to buy it.
The correlation of VentureNet Capital is a statistical measure of how it moves in relation to other instruments. This measure is expressed in what is known as the correlation coefficient, which ranges between -1 and +1. A perfect positive correlation (i.e., a correlation coefficient of +1) implies that as VentureNet Capital moves, either up or down, the other security will move in the same direction. Alternatively, perfect negative correlation means that if VentureNet Capital moves in either direction, the perfectly negatively correlated security will move in the opposite direction. If the correlation is 0, the equities are not correlated; they are entirely random. A correlation greater than 0.8 is generally described as strong, whereas a correlation less than 0.5 is generally considered weak.
Correlation analysis and pair trading evaluation for VentureNet Capital can also be used as hedging techniques within a particular sector or industry or even over random equities to generate a better risk-adjusted return on your portfolios.
Pair CorrelationCorrelation Matching
When determining whether VentureNet Capital offers a strong return on investment in its stock, a comprehensive analysis is essential. The process typically begins with a thorough review of VentureNet Capital's financial statements, including income statements, balance sheets, and cash flow statements, to assess its financial health. Key financial ratios are used to gauge profitability, efficiency, and growth potential of Venturenet Capital Group Stock. Outlined below are crucial reports that will aid in making a well-informed decision on Venturenet Capital Group Stock:
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of VentureNet Capital to cross-verify your projections.
You can also try the Performance Analysis module to check effects of mean-variance optimization against your current asset allocation.
Is Investment Banking & Brokerage space expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of VentureNet Capital. If investors know VentureNet will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about VentureNet Capital listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Earnings Share
(0.31)
Revenue Per Share
0.017
Return On Assets
(5.00)
Return On Equity
(213.94)
The market value of VentureNet Capital is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of VentureNet that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of VentureNet Capital's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is VentureNet Capital's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because VentureNet Capital's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect VentureNet Capital's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between VentureNet Capital's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if VentureNet Capital is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, VentureNet Capital's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.