VICI Properties Stock Forecast - Simple Regression

VICI Stock  USD 32.01  0.00  0.00%   
The Simple Regression forecasted value of VICI Properties on the next trading day is expected to be 32.71 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.49 and the sum of the absolute errors of 29.90. VICI Stock Forecast is based on your current time horizon. We recommend always using this module together with an analysis of VICI Properties' historical fundamentals, such as revenue growth or operating cash flow patterns.
  
As of now, VICI Properties' Fixed Asset Turnover is increasing as compared to previous years. The VICI Properties' current Asset Turnover is estimated to increase to 0.11, while Inventory Turnover is forecasted to increase to (12.23). . The VICI Properties' current Net Income Applicable To Common Shares is estimated to increase to about 1.3 B, while Common Stock Shares Outstanding is projected to decrease to under 624.7 M.

Open Interest Against 2025-06-20 VICI Option Contracts

Although open interest is a measure utilized in the options markets, it could be used to forecast VICI Properties' spot prices because the number of available contracts in the market changes daily, and new contracts can be created or liquidated at will. Since open interest in VICI Properties' options reflects these daily shifts, investors could use the patterns of these changes to develop long and short-term trading strategies for VICI Properties stock based on available contracts left at the end of a trading day.
Please note that to derive more accurate forecasting about market movement from the current VICI Properties' open interest, investors have to compare it to VICI Properties' spot prices. As Ford's stock price increases, high open interest indicates that money is entering the market, and the market is strongly bullish. Conversely, if the price of VICI Properties is decreasing and there is high open interest, that is a sign that the bearish trend will continue, and investors may react by taking short positions in VICI. So, decreasing or low open interest during a bull market indicates that investors are becoming uncertain of the depth of the bullish trend, and a reversal in sentiment will likely follow.
Simple Regression model is a single variable regression model that attempts to put a straight line through VICI Properties price points. This line is defined by its gradient or slope, and the point at which it intercepts the x-axis. Mathematically, assuming the independent variable is X and the dependent variable is Y, then this line can be represented as: Y = intercept + slope * X.

VICI Properties Simple Regression Price Forecast For the 22nd of March

Given 90 days horizon, the Simple Regression forecasted value of VICI Properties on the next trading day is expected to be 32.71 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.49, mean absolute percentage error of 0.31, and the sum of the absolute errors of 29.90.
Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict VICI Stock prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not recommend using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that VICI Properties' next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).

VICI Properties Stock Forecast Pattern

Backtest VICI PropertiesVICI Properties Price PredictionBuy or Sell Advice 

VICI Properties Forecasted Value

In the context of forecasting VICI Properties' Stock value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. VICI Properties' downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 31.44 and 33.99, respectively. We have considered VICI Properties' daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Market Value
32.01
32.71
Expected Value
33.99
Upside

Model Predictive Factors

The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Simple Regression forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of VICI Properties stock data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent VICI Properties stock, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.
AICAkaike Information Criteria116.9438
BiasArithmetic mean of the errors None
MADMean absolute deviation0.4901
MAPEMean absolute percentage error0.0161
SAESum of the absolute errors29.897
In general, regression methods applied to historical equity returns or prices series is an area of active research. In recent decades, new methods have been developed for robust regression of price series such as VICI Properties historical returns. These new methods are regression involving correlated responses such as growth curves and different regression methods accommodating various types of missing data.

Predictive Modules for VICI Properties

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as VICI Properties. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of VICI Properties' price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
30.8732.1433.41
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
28.8135.0836.35
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowMiddleHigh
31.5432.2733.00
Details
24 Analysts
Consensus
LowTargetHigh
32.5535.7739.71
Details

Other Forecasting Options for VICI Properties

For every potential investor in VICI, whether a beginner or expert, VICI Properties' price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. VICI Stock price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in VICI. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying VICI Properties' price trends.

VICI Properties Related Equities

One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with VICI Properties stock to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of VICI Properties could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing VICI Properties by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
 Risk & Return  Correlation

VICI Properties Technical and Predictive Analytics

The stock market is financially volatile. Despite the volatility, there exist limitless possibilities of gaining profits and building passive income portfolios. With the complexity of VICI Properties' price movements, a comprehensive understanding of forecasting methods that an investor can rely on to make the right move is invaluable. These methods predict trends that assist an investor in predicting the movement of VICI Properties' current price.

VICI Properties Market Strength Events

Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how VICI Properties stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading VICI Properties shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying VICI Properties stock market strength indicators, traders can identify VICI Properties entry and exit signals to maximize returns.

VICI Properties Risk Indicators

The analysis of VICI Properties' basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in VICI Properties' investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting vici stock prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.

Currently Active Assets on Macroaxis

When determining whether VICI Properties offers a strong return on investment in its stock, a comprehensive analysis is essential. The process typically begins with a thorough review of VICI Properties' financial statements, including income statements, balance sheets, and cash flow statements, to assess its financial health. Key financial ratios are used to gauge profitability, efficiency, and growth potential of Vici Properties Stock. Outlined below are crucial reports that will aid in making a well-informed decision on Vici Properties Stock:
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of VICI Properties to cross-verify your projections.
For more detail on how to invest in VICI Stock please use our How to Invest in VICI Properties guide.
You can also try the Portfolio Volatility module to check portfolio volatility and analyze historical return density to properly model market risk.
Is Other Specialized REITs space expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of VICI Properties. If investors know VICI will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about VICI Properties listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Quarterly Earnings Growth
(0.19)
Dividend Share
1.695
Earnings Share
2.56
Revenue Per Share
3.677
Quarterly Revenue Growth
0.047
The market value of VICI Properties is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of VICI that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of VICI Properties' value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is VICI Properties' true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because VICI Properties' market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect VICI Properties' underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between VICI Properties' value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if VICI Properties is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, VICI Properties' price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.