SALESFORCECOM Forecast - Simple Moving Average

79466LAM6   67.64  5.54  8.92%   
The Simple Moving Average forecasted value of SALESFORCECOM INC on the next trading day is expected to be 67.64 with a mean absolute deviation of 1.49 and the sum of the absolute errors of 89.40. SALESFORCECOM Bond Forecast is based on your current time horizon. Investors can use this forecasting interface to forecast SALESFORCECOM stock prices and determine the direction of SALESFORCECOM INC's future trends based on various well-known forecasting models. We recommend always using this module together with an analysis of SALESFORCECOM's historical fundamentals, such as revenue growth or operating cash flow patterns.
  
A two period moving average forecast for SALESFORCECOM is based on an daily price series in which the stock price on a given day is replaced by the mean of that price and the preceding price. This model is best suited to price patterns experiencing average volatility.

SALESFORCECOM Simple Moving Average Price Forecast For the 24th of December

Given 90 days horizon, the Simple Moving Average forecasted value of SALESFORCECOM INC on the next trading day is expected to be 67.64 with a mean absolute deviation of 1.49, mean absolute percentage error of 7.24, and the sum of the absolute errors of 89.40.
Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict SALESFORCECOM Bond prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not recommend using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that SALESFORCECOM's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).

SALESFORCECOM Bond Forecast Pattern

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SALESFORCECOM Forecasted Value

In the context of forecasting SALESFORCECOM's Bond value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. SALESFORCECOM's downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 65.65 and 69.63, respectively. We have considered SALESFORCECOM's daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Market Value
67.64
67.64
Expected Value
69.63
Upside

Model Predictive Factors

The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Simple Moving Average forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of SALESFORCECOM bond data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent SALESFORCECOM bond, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.
AICAkaike Information Criteria118.2523
BiasArithmetic mean of the errors -0.0372
MADMean absolute deviation1.4901
MAPEMean absolute percentage error0.0224
SAESum of the absolute errors89.405
The simple moving average model is conceptually a linear regression of the current value of SALESFORCECOM INC price series against current and previous (unobserved) value of SALESFORCECOM. In time series analysis, the simple moving-average model is a very common approach for modeling univariate price series models including forecasting prices into the future

Predictive Modules for SALESFORCECOM

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as SALESFORCECOM INC. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the bond market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the bond market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
65.6567.6469.63
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
55.1357.1274.40
Details
Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as SALESFORCECOM. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against SALESFORCECOM's peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, SALESFORCECOM's competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy toward taking a position in SALESFORCECOM INC.

Other Forecasting Options for SALESFORCECOM

For every potential investor in SALESFORCECOM, whether a beginner or expert, SALESFORCECOM's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. SALESFORCECOM Bond price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in SALESFORCECOM. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying SALESFORCECOM's price trends.

SALESFORCECOM Related Equities

One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with SALESFORCECOM bond to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of SALESFORCECOM could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing SALESFORCECOM by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
 Risk & Return  Correlation

SALESFORCECOM INC Technical and Predictive Analytics

The bond market is financially volatile. Despite the volatility, there exist limitless possibilities of gaining profits and building passive income portfolios. With the complexity of SALESFORCECOM's price movements, a comprehensive understanding of forecasting methods that an investor can rely on to make the right move is invaluable. These methods predict trends that assist an investor in predicting the movement of SALESFORCECOM's current price.

SALESFORCECOM Market Strength Events

Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how SALESFORCECOM bond reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading SALESFORCECOM shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying SALESFORCECOM bond market strength indicators, traders can identify SALESFORCECOM INC entry and exit signals to maximize returns.

SALESFORCECOM Risk Indicators

The analysis of SALESFORCECOM's basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in SALESFORCECOM's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting salesforcecom bond prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios. One of the essential factors to consider when estimating the risk of default for a bond instrument is its duration, which is the bond's price sensitivity to changes in interest rates. The duration of SALESFORCECOM INC bond is primarily affected by its yield, coupon rate, and time to maturity. The duration of a bond will be higher the lower its coupon, lower its yield, and longer the time left to maturity.
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.

Also Currently Popular

Analyzing currently trending equities could be an opportunity to develop a better portfolio based on different market momentums that they can trigger. Utilizing the top trending stocks is also useful when creating a market-neutral strategy or pair trading technique involving a short or a long position in a currently trending equity.

Other Information on Investing in SALESFORCECOM Bond

SALESFORCECOM financial ratios help investors to determine whether SALESFORCECOM Bond is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in SALESFORCECOM with respect to the benefits of owning SALESFORCECOM security.