254687DB9 Forecast - Simple Regression

254687DB9   111.49  10.68  10.59%   
The Simple Regression forecasted value of DIS 85 23 FEB 25 on the next trading day is expected to be 104.00 with a mean absolute deviation of 1.56 and the sum of the absolute errors of 96.87. 254687DB9 Bond Forecast is based on your current time horizon. Investors can use this forecasting interface to forecast 254687DB9 stock prices and determine the direction of DIS 85 23 FEB 25's future trends based on various well-known forecasting models. We recommend always using this module together with an analysis of 254687DB9's historical fundamentals, such as revenue growth or operating cash flow patterns.
  
Simple Regression model is a single variable regression model that attempts to put a straight line through 254687DB9 price points. This line is defined by its gradient or slope, and the point at which it intercepts the x-axis. Mathematically, assuming the independent variable is X and the dependent variable is Y, then this line can be represented as: Y = intercept + slope * X.

254687DB9 Simple Regression Price Forecast For the 3rd of December

Given 90 days horizon, the Simple Regression forecasted value of DIS 85 23 FEB 25 on the next trading day is expected to be 104.00 with a mean absolute deviation of 1.56, mean absolute percentage error of 5.63, and the sum of the absolute errors of 96.87.
Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict 254687DB9 Bond prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not recommend using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that 254687DB9's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).

254687DB9 Bond Forecast Pattern

254687DB9 Forecasted Value

In the context of forecasting 254687DB9's Bond value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. 254687DB9's downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 102.51 and 105.49, respectively. We have considered 254687DB9's daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Market Value
111.49
102.51
Downside
104.00
Expected Value
105.49
Upside

Model Predictive Factors

The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Simple Regression forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of 254687DB9 bond data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent 254687DB9 bond, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.
AICAkaike Information Criteria121.6769
BiasArithmetic mean of the errors None
MADMean absolute deviation1.5624
MAPEMean absolute percentage error0.0149
SAESum of the absolute errors96.8696
In general, regression methods applied to historical equity returns or prices series is an area of active research. In recent decades, new methods have been developed for robust regression of price series such as DIS 85 23 FEB 25 historical returns. These new methods are regression involving correlated responses such as growth curves and different regression methods accommodating various types of missing data.

Predictive Modules for 254687DB9

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as DIS 85 23. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the bond market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the bond market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
110.00111.49112.98
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
99.90101.39122.64
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowMiddleHigh
96.36102.30108.24
Details
Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as 254687DB9. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against 254687DB9's peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, 254687DB9's competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy toward taking a position in DIS 85 23.

Other Forecasting Options for 254687DB9

For every potential investor in 254687DB9, whether a beginner or expert, 254687DB9's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. 254687DB9 Bond price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in 254687DB9. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying 254687DB9's price trends.

254687DB9 Related Equities

One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with 254687DB9 bond to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of 254687DB9 could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing 254687DB9 by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
 Risk & Return  Correlation

DIS 85 23 Technical and Predictive Analytics

The bond market is financially volatile. Despite the volatility, there exist limitless possibilities of gaining profits and building passive income portfolios. With the complexity of 254687DB9's price movements, a comprehensive understanding of forecasting methods that an investor can rely on to make the right move is invaluable. These methods predict trends that assist an investor in predicting the movement of 254687DB9's current price.

254687DB9 Market Strength Events

Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how 254687DB9 bond reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading 254687DB9 shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying 254687DB9 bond market strength indicators, traders can identify DIS 85 23 FEB 25 entry and exit signals to maximize returns.

254687DB9 Risk Indicators

The analysis of 254687DB9's basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in 254687DB9's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting 254687db9 bond prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios. One of the essential factors to consider when estimating the risk of default for a bond instrument is its duration, which is the bond's price sensitivity to changes in interest rates. The duration of DIS 85 23 FEB 25 bond is primarily affected by its yield, coupon rate, and time to maturity. The duration of a bond will be higher the lower its coupon, lower its yield, and longer the time left to maturity.
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.

Also Currently Popular

Analyzing currently trending equities could be an opportunity to develop a better portfolio based on different market momentums that they can trigger. Utilizing the top trending stocks is also useful when creating a market-neutral strategy or pair trading technique involving a short or a long position in a currently trending equity.

Other Information on Investing in 254687DB9 Bond

254687DB9 financial ratios help investors to determine whether 254687DB9 Bond is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in 254687DB9 with respect to the benefits of owning 254687DB9 security.