Kemper Stock Forecast - 4 Period Moving Average
| UI2 Stock | EUR 64.00 2.50 4.07% |
The 4 Period Moving Average forecasted value of Kemper on the next trading day is expected to be 63.00 with a mean absolute deviation of 1.28 and the sum of the absolute errors of 74.53. Kemper Stock Forecast is based on your current time horizon. We recommend always using this module together with an analysis of Kemper's historical fundamentals, such as revenue growth or operating cash flow patterns.
Kemper |
Kemper 4 Period Moving Average Price Forecast For the 4th of January
Given 90 days horizon, the 4 Period Moving Average forecasted value of Kemper on the next trading day is expected to be 63.00 with a mean absolute deviation of 1.28, mean absolute percentage error of 2.78, and the sum of the absolute errors of 74.53.Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict Kemper Stock prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not recommend using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that Kemper's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).
Kemper Stock Forecast Pattern
| Backtest Kemper | Kemper Price Prediction | Buy or Sell Advice |
Model Predictive Factors
The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the 4 Period Moving Average forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of Kemper stock data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent Kemper stock, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.| AIC | Akaike Information Criteria | 113.6195 |
| Bias | Arithmetic mean of the errors | -0.4158 |
| MAD | Mean absolute deviation | 1.285 |
| MAPE | Mean absolute percentage error | 0.0207 |
| SAE | Sum of the absolute errors | 74.5275 |
Predictive Modules for Kemper
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Kemper. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Kemper Related Equities
One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with Kemper stock to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of Kemper could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Kemper by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
| Risk & Return | Correlation |
Kemper Market Strength Events
Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how Kemper stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading Kemper shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying Kemper stock market strength indicators, traders can identify Kemper entry and exit signals to maximize returns.
Kemper Risk Indicators
The analysis of Kemper's basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in Kemper's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting kemper stock prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
| Mean Deviation | 1.53 | |||
| Semi Deviation | 1.93 | |||
| Standard Deviation | 2.2 | |||
| Variance | 4.86 | |||
| Downside Variance | 6.32 | |||
| Semi Variance | 3.74 | |||
| Expected Short fall | (1.91) |
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.
Currently Active Assets on Macroaxis
Additional Information and Resources on Investing in Kemper Stock
When determining whether Kemper is a strong investment it is important to analyze Kemper's competitive position within its industry, examining market share, product or service uniqueness, and competitive advantages. Beyond financials and market position, potential investors should also consider broader economic conditions, industry trends, and any regulatory or geopolitical factors that may impact Kemper's future performance. For an informed investment choice regarding Kemper Stock, refer to the following important reports:Check out World Market Map to better understand how to build diversified portfolios. Also, note that the market value of any company could be closely tied with the direction of predictive economic indicators such as signals in board of governors. You can also try the Commodity Directory module to find actively traded commodities issued by global exchanges.