Cambria Cannabis Etf Forecast - 4 Period Moving Average

TOKE Etf  USD 5.16  0.02  0.39%   
The 4 Period Moving Average forecasted value of Cambria Cannabis ETF on the next trading day is expected to be 5.19 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.11 and the sum of the absolute errors of 6.03. Cambria Etf Forecast is based on your current time horizon. Investors can use this forecasting interface to forecast Cambria Cannabis stock prices and determine the direction of Cambria Cannabis ETF's future trends based on various well-known forecasting models. We recommend always using this module together with an analysis of Cambria Cannabis' historical fundamentals, such as revenue growth or operating cash flow patterns.
  
A four-period moving average forecast model for Cambria Cannabis ETF is based on an artificially constructed daily price series in which the value for a given day is replaced by the mean of that value and the values for four preceding and succeeding time periods. This model is best suited to forecast equities with high volatility.

Cambria Cannabis 4 Period Moving Average Price Forecast For the 16th of December 2024

Given 90 days horizon, the 4 Period Moving Average forecasted value of Cambria Cannabis ETF on the next trading day is expected to be 5.19 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.11, mean absolute percentage error of 0.02, and the sum of the absolute errors of 6.03.
Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict Cambria Etf prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not recommend using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that Cambria Cannabis' next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).

Cambria Cannabis Etf Forecast Pattern

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Cambria Cannabis Forecasted Value

In the context of forecasting Cambria Cannabis' Etf value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. Cambria Cannabis' downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 2.93 and 7.45, respectively. We have considered Cambria Cannabis' daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Market Value
5.16
5.19
Expected Value
7.45
Upside

Model Predictive Factors

The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the 4 Period Moving Average forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of Cambria Cannabis etf data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent Cambria Cannabis etf, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.
AICAkaike Information Criteria106.9986
BiasArithmetic mean of the errors 0.0361
MADMean absolute deviation0.1058
MAPEMean absolute percentage error0.0189
SAESum of the absolute errors6.0325
The four period moving average method has an advantage over other forecasting models in that it does smooth out peaks and troughs in a set of daily price observations of Cambria Cannabis. However, it also has several disadvantages. In particular this model does not produce an actual prediction equation for Cambria Cannabis ETF and therefore, it cannot be a useful forecasting tool for medium or long range price predictions

Predictive Modules for Cambria Cannabis

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Cambria Cannabis ETF. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the etf market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the etf market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
2.915.177.43
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
2.604.867.12
Details

Other Forecasting Options for Cambria Cannabis

For every potential investor in Cambria, whether a beginner or expert, Cambria Cannabis' price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. Cambria Etf price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in Cambria. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying Cambria Cannabis' price trends.

Cambria Cannabis Related Equities

One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with Cambria Cannabis etf to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of Cambria Cannabis could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Cambria Cannabis by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
 Risk & Return  Correlation

Cambria Cannabis ETF Technical and Predictive Analytics

The etf market is financially volatile. Despite the volatility, there exist limitless possibilities of gaining profits and building passive income portfolios. With the complexity of Cambria Cannabis' price movements, a comprehensive understanding of forecasting methods that an investor can rely on to make the right move is invaluable. These methods predict trends that assist an investor in predicting the movement of Cambria Cannabis' current price.

Cambria Cannabis Market Strength Events

Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how Cambria Cannabis etf reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading Cambria Cannabis shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying Cambria Cannabis etf market strength indicators, traders can identify Cambria Cannabis ETF entry and exit signals to maximize returns.

Cambria Cannabis Risk Indicators

The analysis of Cambria Cannabis' basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in Cambria Cannabis' investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting cambria etf prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.

Also Currently Popular

Analyzing currently trending equities could be an opportunity to develop a better portfolio based on different market momentums that they can trigger. Utilizing the top trending stocks is also useful when creating a market-neutral strategy or pair trading technique involving a short or a long position in a currently trending equity.
When determining whether Cambria Cannabis ETF is a strong investment it is important to analyze Cambria Cannabis' competitive position within its industry, examining market share, product or service uniqueness, and competitive advantages. Beyond financials and market position, potential investors should also consider broader economic conditions, industry trends, and any regulatory or geopolitical factors that may impact Cambria Cannabis' future performance. For an informed investment choice regarding Cambria Etf, refer to the following important reports:
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Cambria Cannabis to cross-verify your projections.
You can also try the Positions Ratings module to determine portfolio positions ratings based on digital equity recommendations. Macroaxis instant position ratings are based on combination of fundamental analysis and risk-adjusted market performance.
The market value of Cambria Cannabis ETF is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Cambria that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Cambria Cannabis' value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Cambria Cannabis' true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Cambria Cannabis' market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Cambria Cannabis' underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Cambria Cannabis' value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Cambria Cannabis is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Cambria Cannabis' price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.