1290 Gamco Mutual Fund Forecast - Naive Prediction
| TNVCX Fund | USD 18.17 0.00 0.00% |
The Naive Prediction forecasted value of 1290 Gamco Smallmid on the next trading day is expected to be 18.17 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.02 and the sum of the absolute errors of 0.97. 1290 Mutual Fund Forecast is based on your current time horizon.
1290 |
1290 Gamco Naive Prediction Price Forecast For the 24th of January
Given 90 days horizon, the Naive Prediction forecasted value of 1290 Gamco Smallmid on the next trading day is expected to be 18.17 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.02, mean absolute percentage error of 0, and the sum of the absolute errors of 0.97.Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict 1290 Mutual Fund prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not recommend using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that 1290 Gamco's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).
1290 Gamco Mutual Fund Forecast Pattern
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Model Predictive Factors
The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Naive Prediction forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of 1290 Gamco mutual fund data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent 1290 Gamco mutual fund, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.| AIC | Akaike Information Criteria | 111.7276 |
| Bias | Arithmetic mean of the errors | None |
| MAD | Mean absolute deviation | 0.0159 |
| MAPE | Mean absolute percentage error | 9.0E-4 |
| SAE | Sum of the absolute errors | 0.9703 |
Predictive Modules for 1290 Gamco
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as 1290 Gamco Smallmid. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the mutual fund market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the mutual fund market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of 1290 Gamco's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
1290 Gamco Related Equities
One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with 1290 Gamco mutual fund to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of 1290 Gamco could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing 1290 Gamco by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
| Risk & Return | Correlation |
1290 Gamco Market Strength Events
Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how 1290 Gamco mutual fund reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading 1290 Gamco shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying 1290 Gamco mutual fund market strength indicators, traders can identify 1290 Gamco Smallmid entry and exit signals to maximize returns.
Also Currently Popular
Analyzing currently trending equities could be an opportunity to develop a better portfolio based on different market momentums that they can trigger. Utilizing the top trending stocks is also useful when creating a market-neutral strategy or pair trading technique involving a short or a long position in a currently trending equity.Other Information on Investing in 1290 Mutual Fund
1290 Gamco financial ratios help investors to determine whether 1290 Mutual Fund is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in 1290 with respect to the benefits of owning 1290 Gamco security.
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