TLGY Acquisition Stock Forecast - 4 Period Moving Average

TLGYUDelisted Stock  USD 11.55  0.00  0.00%   
The 4 Period Moving Average forecasted value of TLGY Acquisition Corp on the next trading day is expected to be 11.55 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.17 and the sum of the absolute errors of 9.72. TLGY Stock Forecast is based on your current time horizon.
  
A four-period moving average forecast model for TLGY Acquisition Corp is based on an artificially constructed daily price series in which the value for a given day is replaced by the mean of that value and the values for four preceding and succeeding time periods. This model is best suited to forecast equities with high volatility.

TLGY Acquisition 4 Period Moving Average Price Forecast For the 18th of December 2024

Given 90 days horizon, the 4 Period Moving Average forecasted value of TLGY Acquisition Corp on the next trading day is expected to be 11.55 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.17, mean absolute percentage error of 0.15, and the sum of the absolute errors of 9.72.
Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict TLGY Stock prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not recommend using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that TLGY Acquisition's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).

TLGY Acquisition Stock Forecast Pattern

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TLGY Acquisition Forecasted Value

In the context of forecasting TLGY Acquisition's Stock value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. TLGY Acquisition's downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 8.33 and 14.77, respectively. We have considered TLGY Acquisition's daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Market Value
11.55
11.55
Expected Value
14.77
Upside

Model Predictive Factors

The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the 4 Period Moving Average forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of TLGY Acquisition stock data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent TLGY Acquisition stock, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.
AICAkaike Information Criteria108.8418
BiasArithmetic mean of the errors -0.0026
MADMean absolute deviation0.1705
MAPEMean absolute percentage error0.0139
SAESum of the absolute errors9.72
The four period moving average method has an advantage over other forecasting models in that it does smooth out peaks and troughs in a set of daily price observations of TLGY Acquisition. However, it also has several disadvantages. In particular this model does not produce an actual prediction equation for TLGY Acquisition Corp and therefore, it cannot be a useful forecasting tool for medium or long range price predictions

Predictive Modules for TLGY Acquisition

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as TLGY Acquisition Corp. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of TLGY Acquisition's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
8.3311.5514.77
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
6.9810.2013.42
Details

Other Forecasting Options for TLGY Acquisition

For every potential investor in TLGY, whether a beginner or expert, TLGY Acquisition's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. TLGY Stock price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in TLGY. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying TLGY Acquisition's price trends.

TLGY Acquisition Related Equities

One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with TLGY Acquisition stock to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of TLGY Acquisition could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing TLGY Acquisition by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
 Risk & Return  Correlation

TLGY Acquisition Corp Technical and Predictive Analytics

The stock market is financially volatile. Despite the volatility, there exist limitless possibilities of gaining profits and building passive income portfolios. With the complexity of TLGY Acquisition's price movements, a comprehensive understanding of forecasting methods that an investor can rely on to make the right move is invaluable. These methods predict trends that assist an investor in predicting the movement of TLGY Acquisition's current price.

TLGY Acquisition Market Strength Events

Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how TLGY Acquisition stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading TLGY Acquisition shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying TLGY Acquisition stock market strength indicators, traders can identify TLGY Acquisition Corp entry and exit signals to maximize returns.

TLGY Acquisition Risk Indicators

The analysis of TLGY Acquisition's basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in TLGY Acquisition's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting tlgy stock prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.

Thematic Opportunities

Explore Investment Opportunities

Build portfolios using Macroaxis predefined set of investing ideas. Many of Macroaxis investing ideas can easily outperform a given market. Ideas can also be optimized per your risk profile before portfolio origination is invoked. Macroaxis thematic optimization helps investors identify companies most likely to benefit from changes or shifts in various micro-economic or local macro-level trends. Originating optimal thematic portfolios involves aligning investors' personal views, ideas, and beliefs with their actual investments.
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Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of TLGY Acquisition to cross-verify your projections.
You can also try the CEOs Directory module to screen CEOs from public companies around the world.

Other Consideration for investing in TLGY Stock

If you are still planning to invest in TLGY Acquisition Corp check if it may still be traded through OTC markets such as Pink Sheets or OTC Bulletin Board. You may also purchase it directly from the company, but this is not always possible and may require contacting the company directly. Please note that delisted stocks are often considered to be more risky investments, as they are no longer subject to the same regulatory and reporting requirements as listed stocks. Therefore, it is essential to carefully research the TLGY Acquisition's history and understand the potential risks before investing.
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