Thantawan Industry Stock Forecast - 20 Period Moving Average

THIP Stock  THB 28.75  0.25  0.88%   
The 20 Period Moving Average forecasted value of Thantawan Industry Public on the next trading day is expected to be 28.85 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.18 and the sum of the absolute errors of 7.45. Thantawan Stock Forecast is based on your current time horizon.
  
A commonly used 20-period moving average forecast model for Thantawan Industry Public is based on a synthetically constructed Thantawan Industrydaily price series in which the value for a trading day is replaced by the mean of that value and the values for 20 of preceding and succeeding time periods. This model is best suited for price series data that changes over time.

Thantawan Industry 20 Period Moving Average Price Forecast For the 5th of December

Given 90 days horizon, the 20 Period Moving Average forecasted value of Thantawan Industry Public on the next trading day is expected to be 28.85 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.18, mean absolute percentage error of 0.05, and the sum of the absolute errors of 7.45.
Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict Thantawan Stock prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not recommend using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that Thantawan Industry's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).

Thantawan Industry Stock Forecast Pattern

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Thantawan Industry Forecasted Value

In the context of forecasting Thantawan Industry's Stock value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. Thantawan Industry's downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 28.05 and 29.65, respectively. We have considered Thantawan Industry's daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Market Value
28.75
28.85
Expected Value
29.65
Upside

Model Predictive Factors

The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the 20 Period Moving Average forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of Thantawan Industry stock data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent Thantawan Industry stock, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.
AICAkaike Information Criteria78.3545
BiasArithmetic mean of the errors 0.0713
MADMean absolute deviation0.1817
MAPEMean absolute percentage error0.0063
SAESum of the absolute errors7.45
The eieght-period moving average method has an advantage over other forecasting models in that it does smooth out peaks and valleys in a set of daily observations. Thantawan Industry Public 20-period moving average forecast can only be used reliably to predict one or two periods into the future.

Predictive Modules for Thantawan Industry

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Thantawan Industry Public. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
27.9528.7529.55
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
25.1325.9331.63
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowMiddleHigh
28.6428.7828.93
Details

Other Forecasting Options for Thantawan Industry

For every potential investor in Thantawan, whether a beginner or expert, Thantawan Industry's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. Thantawan Stock price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in Thantawan. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying Thantawan Industry's price trends.

Thantawan Industry Related Equities

One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with Thantawan Industry stock to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of Thantawan Industry could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Thantawan Industry by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
 Risk & Return  Correlation

Thantawan Industry Public Technical and Predictive Analytics

The stock market is financially volatile. Despite the volatility, there exist limitless possibilities of gaining profits and building passive income portfolios. With the complexity of Thantawan Industry's price movements, a comprehensive understanding of forecasting methods that an investor can rely on to make the right move is invaluable. These methods predict trends that assist an investor in predicting the movement of Thantawan Industry's current price.

Thantawan Industry Market Strength Events

Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how Thantawan Industry stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading Thantawan Industry shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying Thantawan Industry stock market strength indicators, traders can identify Thantawan Industry Public entry and exit signals to maximize returns.

Thantawan Industry Risk Indicators

The analysis of Thantawan Industry's basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in Thantawan Industry's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting thantawan stock prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.

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Other Information on Investing in Thantawan Stock

Thantawan Industry financial ratios help investors to determine whether Thantawan Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Thantawan with respect to the benefits of owning Thantawan Industry security.