Tevano Systems Pink Sheet Forecast - Naive Prediction

The Naive Prediction forecasted value of Tevano Systems Holdings on the next trading day is expected to be 0.01 with a mean absolute deviation of 0 and the sum of the absolute errors of 0.09. Tevano Pink Sheet Forecast is based on your current time horizon. We recommend always using this module together with an analysis of Tevano Systems' historical fundamentals, such as revenue growth or operating cash flow patterns.
  
A naive forecasting model for Tevano Systems is a special case of the moving average forecasting where the number of periods used for smoothing is one. Therefore, the forecast of Tevano Systems Holdings value for a given trading day is simply the observed value for the previous period. Due to the simplistic nature of the naive forecasting model, it can only be used to forecast up to one period.

Tevano Systems Naive Prediction Price Forecast For the 5th of December

Given 90 days horizon, the Naive Prediction forecasted value of Tevano Systems Holdings on the next trading day is expected to be 0.01 with a mean absolute deviation of 0, mean absolute percentage error of 0.00000522, and the sum of the absolute errors of 0.09.
Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict Tevano Pink Sheet prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not recommend using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that Tevano Systems' next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).

Tevano Systems Pink Sheet Forecast Pattern

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Tevano Systems Forecasted Value

In the context of forecasting Tevano Systems' Pink Sheet value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. Tevano Systems' downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 0.00 and 12.71, respectively. We have considered Tevano Systems' daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Market Value
0.00
0.01
Expected Value
12.71
Upside

Model Predictive Factors

The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Naive Prediction forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of Tevano Systems pink sheet data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent Tevano Systems pink sheet, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.
AICAkaike Information Criteria105.9477
BiasArithmetic mean of the errors None
MADMean absolute deviation0.0015
MAPEMean absolute percentage error9.223372036854776E14
SAESum of the absolute errors0.0901
This model is not at all useful as a medium-long range forecasting tool of Tevano Systems Holdings. This model is simplistic and is included partly for completeness and partly because of its simplicity. It is unlikely that you'll want to use this model directly to predict Tevano Systems. Instead, consider using either the moving average model or the more general weighted moving average model with a higher (i.e., greater than 1) number of periods, and possibly a different set of weights.

Predictive Modules for Tevano Systems

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Tevano Systems Holdings. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the pink sheet market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the pink sheet market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
0.000.0012.60
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
0.000.0012.60
Details

Other Forecasting Options for Tevano Systems

For every potential investor in Tevano, whether a beginner or expert, Tevano Systems' price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. Tevano Pink Sheet price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in Tevano. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying Tevano Systems' price trends.

Tevano Systems Related Equities

One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with Tevano Systems pink sheet to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of Tevano Systems could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Tevano Systems by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
 Risk & Return  Correlation

Tevano Systems Holdings Technical and Predictive Analytics

The pink sheet market is financially volatile. Despite the volatility, there exist limitless possibilities of gaining profits and building passive income portfolios. With the complexity of Tevano Systems' price movements, a comprehensive understanding of forecasting methods that an investor can rely on to make the right move is invaluable. These methods predict trends that assist an investor in predicting the movement of Tevano Systems' current price.

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Other Information on Investing in Tevano Pink Sheet

Tevano Systems financial ratios help investors to determine whether Tevano Pink Sheet is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Tevano with respect to the benefits of owning Tevano Systems security.