One Group Stock Forecast - Simple Exponential Smoothing

STKS Stock  USD 2.82  0.07  2.55%   
The Simple Exponential Smoothing forecasted value of One Group Hospitality on the next trading day is expected to be 2.82 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.09 and the sum of the absolute errors of 5.62. One Stock Forecast is based on your current time horizon.
  
At this time, One Group's Fixed Asset Turnover is comparatively stable compared to the past year. Asset Turnover is likely to gain to 1.34 in 2024, whereas Inventory Turnover is likely to drop 33.11 in 2024. . Net Income Applicable To Common Shares is likely to gain to about 16.3 M in 2024, whereas Common Stock Shares Outstanding is likely to drop slightly above 21.8 M in 2024.
One Group simple exponential smoothing forecast is a very popular model used to produce a smoothed price series. Whereas in simple Moving Average models the past observations for One Group Hospitality are weighted equally, Exponential Smoothing assigns exponentially decreasing weights as One Group Hospitality prices get older.

One Group Simple Exponential Smoothing Price Forecast For the 21st of December

Given 90 days horizon, the Simple Exponential Smoothing forecasted value of One Group Hospitality on the next trading day is expected to be 2.82 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.09, mean absolute percentage error of 0.02, and the sum of the absolute errors of 5.62.
Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict One Stock prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not recommend using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that One Group's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).

One Group Stock Forecast Pattern

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One Group Forecasted Value

In the context of forecasting One Group's Stock value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. One Group's downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 0.03 and 6.68, respectively. We have considered One Group's daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Market Value
2.82
2.82
Expected Value
6.68
Upside

Model Predictive Factors

The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Simple Exponential Smoothing forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of One Group stock data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent One Group stock, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.
AICAkaike Information Criteria112.3435
BiasArithmetic mean of the errors 0.0143
MADMean absolute deviation0.0937
MAPEMean absolute percentage error0.0277
SAESum of the absolute errors5.62
This simple exponential smoothing model begins by setting One Group Hospitality forecast for the second period equal to the observation of the first period. In other words, recent One Group observations are given relatively more weight in forecasting than the older observations.

Predictive Modules for One Group

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as One Group Hospitality. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
0.142.796.65
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
0.984.848.70
Details
3 Analysts
Consensus
LowTargetHigh
10.1311.1312.35
Details

Other Forecasting Options for One Group

For every potential investor in One, whether a beginner or expert, One Group's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. One Stock price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in One. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying One Group's price trends.

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 Risk & Return  Correlation

One Group Hospitality Technical and Predictive Analytics

The stock market is financially volatile. Despite the volatility, there exist limitless possibilities of gaining profits and building passive income portfolios. With the complexity of One Group's price movements, a comprehensive understanding of forecasting methods that an investor can rely on to make the right move is invaluable. These methods predict trends that assist an investor in predicting the movement of One Group's current price.

One Group Market Strength Events

Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how One Group stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading One Group shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying One Group stock market strength indicators, traders can identify One Group Hospitality entry and exit signals to maximize returns.

One Group Risk Indicators

The analysis of One Group's basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in One Group's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting one stock prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.

Thematic Opportunities

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Build portfolios using Macroaxis predefined set of investing ideas. Many of Macroaxis investing ideas can easily outperform a given market. Ideas can also be optimized per your risk profile before portfolio origination is invoked. Macroaxis thematic optimization helps investors identify companies most likely to benefit from changes or shifts in various micro-economic or local macro-level trends. Originating optimal thematic portfolios involves aligning investors' personal views, ideas, and beliefs with their actual investments.
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Additional Tools for One Stock Analysis

When running One Group's price analysis, check to measure One Group's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy One Group is operating at the current time. Most of One Group's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of One Group's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move One Group's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of One Group to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.