Supernova Energy Pink Sheet Forecast - Simple Exponential Smoothing
| SPRN Stock | USD 0.0003 0.00 0.00% |
The Simple Exponential Smoothing forecasted value of Supernova Energy on the next trading day is expected to be 0.0003 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.00000167 and the sum of the absolute errors of 0.0001. Supernova Pink Sheet Forecast is based on your current time horizon.
Supernova |
Supernova Energy Simple Exponential Smoothing Price Forecast For the 17th of December 2024
Given 90 days horizon, the Simple Exponential Smoothing forecasted value of Supernova Energy on the next trading day is expected to be 0.0003 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.00000167, mean absolute percentage error of 0, and the sum of the absolute errors of 0.0001.Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict Supernova Pink Sheet prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not recommend using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that Supernova Energy's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).
Supernova Energy Pink Sheet Forecast Pattern
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Supernova Energy Forecasted Value
In the context of forecasting Supernova Energy's Pink Sheet value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. Supernova Energy's downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 0.000003 and 6.25, respectively. We have considered Supernova Energy's daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Model Predictive Factors
The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Simple Exponential Smoothing forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of Supernova Energy pink sheet data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent Supernova Energy pink sheet, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.| AIC | Akaike Information Criteria | 93.7576 |
| Bias | Arithmetic mean of the errors | None |
| MAD | Mean absolute deviation | 0.0 |
| MAPE | Mean absolute percentage error | 0.0056 |
| SAE | Sum of the absolute errors | 1.0E-4 |
Predictive Modules for Supernova Energy
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Supernova Energy. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the pink sheet market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the pink sheet market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Other Forecasting Options for Supernova Energy
For every potential investor in Supernova, whether a beginner or expert, Supernova Energy's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. Supernova Pink Sheet price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in Supernova. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying Supernova Energy's price trends.View Supernova Energy Related Equities
| Risk & Return | Correlation |
Supernova Energy Technical and Predictive Analytics
The pink sheet market is financially volatile. Despite the volatility, there exist limitless possibilities of gaining profits and building passive income portfolios. With the complexity of Supernova Energy's price movements, a comprehensive understanding of forecasting methods that an investor can rely on to make the right move is invaluable. These methods predict trends that assist an investor in predicting the movement of Supernova Energy's current price.| Cycle Indicators | ||
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| Volume Indicators |
Supernova Energy Market Strength Events
Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how Supernova Energy pink sheet reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading Supernova Energy shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying Supernova Energy pink sheet market strength indicators, traders can identify Supernova Energy entry and exit signals to maximize returns.
| Rate Of Daily Change | 1.0 | |||
| Day Median Price | 3.0E-4 | |||
| Day Typical Price | 3.0E-4 |
Supernova Energy Risk Indicators
The analysis of Supernova Energy's basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in Supernova Energy's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting supernova pink sheet prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
| Mean Deviation | 1.49 | |||
| Standard Deviation | 6.15 | |||
| Variance | 37.88 |
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.
Pair Trading with Supernova Energy
One of the main advantages of trading using pair correlations is that every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if Supernova Energy position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Pair trading also minimizes risk from directional movements in the market. For example, if an entire industry or sector drops because of unexpected headlines, the short position in Supernova Energy will appreciate offsetting losses from the drop in the long position's value.Moving against Supernova Pink Sheet
| 0.71 | MRK | Merck Company Fiscal Year End 6th of February 2025 | PairCorr |
| 0.58 | ARE | Alexandria Real Estate Sell-off Trend | PairCorr |
| 0.57 | OPHLF | Ono Pharmaceutical | PairCorr |
| 0.55 | ESALF | Eisai | PairCorr |
| 0.5 | DSKYF | Daiichi Sankyo | PairCorr |
The ability to find closely correlated positions to Supernova Energy could be a great tool in your tax-loss harvesting strategies, allowing investors a quick way to find a similar-enough asset to replace Supernova Energy when you sell it. If you don't do this, your portfolio allocation will be skewed against your target asset allocation. So, investors can't just sell and buy back Supernova Energy - that would be a violation of the tax code under the "wash sale" rule, and this is why you need to find a similar enough asset and use the proceeds from selling Supernova Energy to buy it.
The correlation of Supernova Energy is a statistical measure of how it moves in relation to other instruments. This measure is expressed in what is known as the correlation coefficient, which ranges between -1 and +1. A perfect positive correlation (i.e., a correlation coefficient of +1) implies that as Supernova Energy moves, either up or down, the other security will move in the same direction. Alternatively, perfect negative correlation means that if Supernova Energy moves in either direction, the perfectly negatively correlated security will move in the opposite direction. If the correlation is 0, the equities are not correlated; they are entirely random. A correlation greater than 0.8 is generally described as strong, whereas a correlation less than 0.5 is generally considered weak.
Correlation analysis and pair trading evaluation for Supernova Energy can also be used as hedging techniques within a particular sector or industry or even over random equities to generate a better risk-adjusted return on your portfolios.Other Information on Investing in Supernova Pink Sheet
Supernova Energy financial ratios help investors to determine whether Supernova Pink Sheet is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Supernova with respect to the benefits of owning Supernova Energy security.