SP Funds Etf Forecast - Naive Prediction

SPRE Etf  USD 19.36  0.36  1.83%   
The Naive Prediction forecasted value of SP Funds SP on the next trading day is expected to be 19.02 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.14 and the sum of the absolute errors of 8.68. SPRE Etf Forecast is based on your current time horizon. Investors can use this forecasting interface to forecast SP Funds stock prices and determine the direction of SP Funds SP's future trends based on various well-known forecasting models. We recommend always using this module together with an analysis of SP Funds' historical fundamentals, such as revenue growth or operating cash flow patterns.
  
A naive forecasting model for SP Funds is a special case of the moving average forecasting where the number of periods used for smoothing is one. Therefore, the forecast of SP Funds SP value for a given trading day is simply the observed value for the previous period. Due to the simplistic nature of the naive forecasting model, it can only be used to forecast up to one period.

SP Funds Naive Prediction Price Forecast For the 15th of March 2025

Given 90 days horizon, the Naive Prediction forecasted value of SP Funds SP on the next trading day is expected to be 19.02 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.14, mean absolute percentage error of 0.04, and the sum of the absolute errors of 8.68.
Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict SPRE Etf prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not recommend using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that SP Funds' next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).

SP Funds Etf Forecast Pattern

Backtest SP FundsSP Funds Price PredictionBuy or Sell Advice 

SP Funds Forecasted Value

In the context of forecasting SP Funds' Etf value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. SP Funds' downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 17.90 and 20.14, respectively. We have considered SP Funds' daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Market Value
19.36
19.02
Expected Value
20.14
Upside

Model Predictive Factors

The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Naive Prediction forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of SP Funds etf data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent SP Funds etf, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.
AICAkaike Information Criteria116.5974
BiasArithmetic mean of the errors None
MADMean absolute deviation0.1399
MAPEMean absolute percentage error0.007
SAESum of the absolute errors8.6752
This model is not at all useful as a medium-long range forecasting tool of SP Funds SP. This model is simplistic and is included partly for completeness and partly because of its simplicity. It is unlikely that you'll want to use this model directly to predict SP Funds. Instead, consider using either the moving average model or the more general weighted moving average model with a higher (i.e., greater than 1) number of periods, and possibly a different set of weights.

Predictive Modules for SP Funds

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as SP Funds SP. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the etf market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the etf market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
18.2519.3720.49
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
18.3919.5120.63
Details

Other Forecasting Options for SP Funds

For every potential investor in SPRE, whether a beginner or expert, SP Funds' price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. SPRE Etf price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in SPRE. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying SP Funds' price trends.

SP Funds Related Equities

One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with SP Funds etf to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of SP Funds could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing SP Funds by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
 Risk & Return  Correlation

SP Funds SP Technical and Predictive Analytics

The etf market is financially volatile. Despite the volatility, there exist limitless possibilities of gaining profits and building passive income portfolios. With the complexity of SP Funds' price movements, a comprehensive understanding of forecasting methods that an investor can rely on to make the right move is invaluable. These methods predict trends that assist an investor in predicting the movement of SP Funds' current price.

SP Funds Market Strength Events

Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how SP Funds etf reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading SP Funds shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying SP Funds etf market strength indicators, traders can identify SP Funds SP entry and exit signals to maximize returns.

SP Funds Risk Indicators

The analysis of SP Funds' basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in SP Funds' investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting spre etf prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.

Also Currently Popular

Analyzing currently trending equities could be an opportunity to develop a better portfolio based on different market momentums that they can trigger. Utilizing the top trending stocks is also useful when creating a market-neutral strategy or pair trading technique involving a short or a long position in a currently trending equity.
When determining whether SP Funds SP is a strong investment it is important to analyze SP Funds' competitive position within its industry, examining market share, product or service uniqueness, and competitive advantages. Beyond financials and market position, potential investors should also consider broader economic conditions, industry trends, and any regulatory or geopolitical factors that may impact SP Funds' future performance. For an informed investment choice regarding SPRE Etf, refer to the following important reports:
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of SP Funds to cross-verify your projections.
You can also try the Bollinger Bands module to use Bollinger Bands indicator to analyze target price for a given investing horizon.
The market value of SP Funds SP is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of SPRE that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of SP Funds' value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is SP Funds' true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because SP Funds' market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect SP Funds' underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between SP Funds' value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if SP Funds is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, SP Funds' price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.