ETRACS 2xMonthly Etf Forecast - Triple Exponential Smoothing
| SMHB Etf | USD 5.64 0.04 0.71% |
The Triple Exponential Smoothing forecasted value of ETRACS 2xMonthly Pay on the next trading day is expected to be 5.63 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.08 and the sum of the absolute errors of 4.93. ETRACS Etf Forecast is based on your current time horizon. Investors can use this forecasting interface to forecast ETRACS 2xMonthly stock prices and determine the direction of ETRACS 2xMonthly Pay's future trends based on various well-known forecasting models. We recommend always using this module together with an analysis of ETRACS 2xMonthly's historical fundamentals, such as revenue growth or operating cash flow patterns.
ETRACS |
ETRACS 2xMonthly Triple Exponential Smoothing Price Forecast For the 13th of December 2024
Given 90 days horizon, the Triple Exponential Smoothing forecasted value of ETRACS 2xMonthly Pay on the next trading day is expected to be 5.63 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.08, mean absolute percentage error of 0.01, and the sum of the absolute errors of 4.93.Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict ETRACS Etf prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not recommend using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that ETRACS 2xMonthly's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).
ETRACS 2xMonthly Etf Forecast Pattern
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ETRACS 2xMonthly Forecasted Value
In the context of forecasting ETRACS 2xMonthly's Etf value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. ETRACS 2xMonthly's downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 3.89 and 7.37, respectively. We have considered ETRACS 2xMonthly's daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Model Predictive Factors
The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Triple Exponential Smoothing forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of ETRACS 2xMonthly etf data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent ETRACS 2xMonthly etf, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.| AIC | Akaike Information Criteria | Huge |
| Bias | Arithmetic mean of the errors | 0.0148 |
| MAD | Mean absolute deviation | 0.0821 |
| MAPE | Mean absolute percentage error | 0.014 |
| SAE | Sum of the absolute errors | 4.9282 |
Predictive Modules for ETRACS 2xMonthly
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as ETRACS 2xMonthly Pay. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the etf market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the etf market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Other Forecasting Options for ETRACS 2xMonthly
For every potential investor in ETRACS, whether a beginner or expert, ETRACS 2xMonthly's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. ETRACS Etf price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in ETRACS. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying ETRACS 2xMonthly's price trends.ETRACS 2xMonthly Related Equities
One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with ETRACS 2xMonthly etf to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of ETRACS 2xMonthly could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing ETRACS 2xMonthly by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
| Risk & Return | Correlation |
ETRACS 2xMonthly Pay Technical and Predictive Analytics
The etf market is financially volatile. Despite the volatility, there exist limitless possibilities of gaining profits and building passive income portfolios. With the complexity of ETRACS 2xMonthly's price movements, a comprehensive understanding of forecasting methods that an investor can rely on to make the right move is invaluable. These methods predict trends that assist an investor in predicting the movement of ETRACS 2xMonthly's current price.| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
ETRACS 2xMonthly Market Strength Events
Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how ETRACS 2xMonthly etf reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading ETRACS 2xMonthly shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying ETRACS 2xMonthly etf market strength indicators, traders can identify ETRACS 2xMonthly Pay entry and exit signals to maximize returns.
| Accumulation Distribution | 440.4 | |||
| Daily Balance Of Power | 0.4 | |||
| Rate Of Daily Change | 1.01 | |||
| Day Median Price | 5.65 | |||
| Day Typical Price | 5.65 | |||
| Price Action Indicator | 0.01 | |||
| Period Momentum Indicator | 0.04 |
ETRACS 2xMonthly Risk Indicators
The analysis of ETRACS 2xMonthly's basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in ETRACS 2xMonthly's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting etracs etf prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
| Mean Deviation | 1.47 | |||
| Semi Deviation | 1.67 | |||
| Standard Deviation | 2.01 | |||
| Variance | 4.05 | |||
| Downside Variance | 3.27 | |||
| Semi Variance | 2.8 | |||
| Expected Short fall | (1.77) |
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.
Also Currently Popular
Analyzing currently trending equities could be an opportunity to develop a better portfolio based on different market momentums that they can trigger. Utilizing the top trending stocks is also useful when creating a market-neutral strategy or pair trading technique involving a short or a long position in a currently trending equity.When determining whether ETRACS 2xMonthly Pay offers a strong return on investment in its stock, a comprehensive analysis is essential. The process typically begins with a thorough review of ETRACS 2xMonthly's financial statements, including income statements, balance sheets, and cash flow statements, to assess its financial health. Key financial ratios are used to gauge profitability, efficiency, and growth potential of Etracs 2xmonthly Pay Etf. Outlined below are crucial reports that will aid in making a well-informed decision on Etracs 2xmonthly Pay Etf:Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of ETRACS 2xMonthly to cross-verify your projections. You can also try the Commodity Channel module to use Commodity Channel Index to analyze current equity momentum.
The market value of ETRACS 2xMonthly Pay is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of ETRACS that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of ETRACS 2xMonthly's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is ETRACS 2xMonthly's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because ETRACS 2xMonthly's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect ETRACS 2xMonthly's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between ETRACS 2xMonthly's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if ETRACS 2xMonthly is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, ETRACS 2xMonthly's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.