Steward Funds Mutual Fund Forecast - 20 Period Moving Average

SJVAX Fund  USD 31.75  0.02  0.06%   
The 20 Period Moving Average forecasted value of Steward Funds on the next trading day is expected to be 31.91 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.58 and the sum of the absolute errors of 23.91. Steward Mutual Fund Forecast is based on your current time horizon.
  
A commonly used 20-period moving average forecast model for Steward Funds is based on a synthetically constructed Steward Fundsdaily price series in which the value for a trading day is replaced by the mean of that value and the values for 20 of preceding and succeeding time periods. This model is best suited for price series data that changes over time.

Steward Funds 20 Period Moving Average Price Forecast For the 13th of December 2024

Given 90 days horizon, the 20 Period Moving Average forecasted value of Steward Funds on the next trading day is expected to be 31.91 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.58, mean absolute percentage error of 0.49, and the sum of the absolute errors of 23.91.
Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict Steward Mutual Fund prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not recommend using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that Steward Funds' next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).

Steward Funds Mutual Fund Forecast Pattern

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Steward Funds Forecasted Value

In the context of forecasting Steward Funds' Mutual Fund value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. Steward Funds' downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 31.13 and 32.69, respectively. We have considered Steward Funds' daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Market Value
31.75
31.91
Expected Value
32.69
Upside

Model Predictive Factors

The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the 20 Period Moving Average forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of Steward Funds mutual fund data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent Steward Funds mutual fund, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.
AICAkaike Information Criteria80.6317
BiasArithmetic mean of the errors -0.4269
MADMean absolute deviation0.5832
MAPEMean absolute percentage error0.0185
SAESum of the absolute errors23.911
The eieght-period moving average method has an advantage over other forecasting models in that it does smooth out peaks and valleys in a set of daily observations. Steward Funds 20-period moving average forecast can only be used reliably to predict one or two periods into the future.

Predictive Modules for Steward Funds

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Steward Funds. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the mutual fund market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the mutual fund market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
30.9731.7532.53
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
28.5833.3034.08
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowMiddleHigh
31.5432.1532.76
Details
Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as Steward Funds. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against Steward Funds' peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, Steward Funds' competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy toward taking a position in Steward Funds.

Other Forecasting Options for Steward Funds

For every potential investor in Steward, whether a beginner or expert, Steward Funds' price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. Steward Mutual Fund price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in Steward. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying Steward Funds' price trends.

Steward Funds Related Equities

One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with Steward Funds mutual fund to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of Steward Funds could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Steward Funds by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
 Risk & Return  Correlation

Steward Funds Technical and Predictive Analytics

The mutual fund market is financially volatile. Despite the volatility, there exist limitless possibilities of gaining profits and building passive income portfolios. With the complexity of Steward Funds' price movements, a comprehensive understanding of forecasting methods that an investor can rely on to make the right move is invaluable. These methods predict trends that assist an investor in predicting the movement of Steward Funds' current price.

Steward Funds Market Strength Events

Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how Steward Funds mutual fund reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading Steward Funds shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying Steward Funds mutual fund market strength indicators, traders can identify Steward Funds entry and exit signals to maximize returns.

Steward Funds Risk Indicators

The analysis of Steward Funds' basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in Steward Funds' investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting steward mutual fund prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.

Also Currently Popular

Analyzing currently trending equities could be an opportunity to develop a better portfolio based on different market momentums that they can trigger. Utilizing the top trending stocks is also useful when creating a market-neutral strategy or pair trading technique involving a short or a long position in a currently trending equity.

Other Information on Investing in Steward Mutual Fund

Steward Funds financial ratios help investors to determine whether Steward Mutual Fund is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Steward with respect to the benefits of owning Steward Funds security.
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