Singapore Airlines Stock Forecast - 4 Period Moving Average

SIA1 Stock  EUR 4.42  0.01  0.23%   
The 4 Period Moving Average forecasted value of Singapore Airlines Limited on the next trading day is expected to be 4.42 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.05 and the sum of the absolute errors of 2.71. Singapore Stock Forecast is based on your current time horizon. We recommend always using this module together with an analysis of Singapore Airlines' historical fundamentals, such as revenue growth or operating cash flow patterns.
  
A four-period moving average forecast model for Singapore Airlines Limited is based on an artificially constructed daily price series in which the value for a given day is replaced by the mean of that value and the values for four preceding and succeeding time periods. This model is best suited to forecast equities with high volatility.

Singapore Airlines 4 Period Moving Average Price Forecast For the 29th of November

Given 90 days horizon, the 4 Period Moving Average forecasted value of Singapore Airlines Limited on the next trading day is expected to be 4.42 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.05, mean absolute percentage error of 0, and the sum of the absolute errors of 2.71.
Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict Singapore Stock prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not recommend using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that Singapore Airlines' next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).

Singapore Airlines Stock Forecast Pattern

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Singapore Airlines Forecasted Value

In the context of forecasting Singapore Airlines' Stock value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. Singapore Airlines' downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 3.14 and 5.69, respectively. We have considered Singapore Airlines' daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Market Value
4.42
4.42
Expected Value
5.69
Upside

Model Predictive Factors

The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the 4 Period Moving Average forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of Singapore Airlines stock data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent Singapore Airlines stock, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.
AICAkaike Information Criteria105.1116
BiasArithmetic mean of the errors -0.0066
MADMean absolute deviation0.0475
MAPEMean absolute percentage error0.0108
SAESum of the absolute errors2.71
The four period moving average method has an advantage over other forecasting models in that it does smooth out peaks and troughs in a set of daily price observations of Singapore Airlines. However, it also has several disadvantages. In particular this model does not produce an actual prediction equation for Singapore Airlines Limited and therefore, it cannot be a useful forecasting tool for medium or long range price predictions

Predictive Modules for Singapore Airlines

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Singapore Airlines. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
3.134.425.71
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
2.914.205.49
Details

Other Forecasting Options for Singapore Airlines

For every potential investor in Singapore, whether a beginner or expert, Singapore Airlines' price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. Singapore Stock price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in Singapore. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying Singapore Airlines' price trends.

Singapore Airlines Related Equities

One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with Singapore Airlines stock to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of Singapore Airlines could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Singapore Airlines by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
 Risk & Return  Correlation

Singapore Airlines Technical and Predictive Analytics

The stock market is financially volatile. Despite the volatility, there exist limitless possibilities of gaining profits and building passive income portfolios. With the complexity of Singapore Airlines' price movements, a comprehensive understanding of forecasting methods that an investor can rely on to make the right move is invaluable. These methods predict trends that assist an investor in predicting the movement of Singapore Airlines' current price.

Singapore Airlines Market Strength Events

Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how Singapore Airlines stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading Singapore Airlines shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying Singapore Airlines stock market strength indicators, traders can identify Singapore Airlines Limited entry and exit signals to maximize returns.

Singapore Airlines Risk Indicators

The analysis of Singapore Airlines' basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in Singapore Airlines' investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting singapore stock prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.

Currently Active Assets on Macroaxis

Other Information on Investing in Singapore Stock

Singapore Airlines financial ratios help investors to determine whether Singapore Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Singapore with respect to the benefits of owning Singapore Airlines security.