Shigan Quantum Stock Forecast - Triple Exponential Smoothing

SHIGAN-SM   75.60  7.90  11.67%   
The Triple Exponential Smoothing forecasted value of Shigan Quantum Tech on the next trading day is expected to be 73.79 with a mean absolute deviation of 3.49 and the sum of the absolute errors of 205.84. Shigan Stock Forecast is based on your current time horizon. Investors can use this forecasting interface to forecast Shigan Quantum stock prices and determine the direction of Shigan Quantum Tech's future trends based on various well-known forecasting models. We recommend always using this module together with an analysis of Shigan Quantum's historical fundamentals, such as revenue growth or operating cash flow patterns.
  
Triple exponential smoothing for Shigan Quantum - also known as the Winters method - is a refinement of the popular double exponential smoothing model with the addition of periodicity (seasonality) component. Simple exponential smoothing technique works best with data where there are no trend or seasonality components to the data. When Shigan Quantum prices exhibit either an increasing or decreasing trend over time, simple exponential smoothing forecasts tend to lag behind observations. Double exponential smoothing is designed to address this type of data series by taking into account any trend in Shigan Quantum price movement. However, neither of these exponential smoothing models address any seasonality of Shigan Quantum Tech.

Shigan Quantum Triple Exponential Smoothing Price Forecast For the 22nd of March

Given 90 days horizon, the Triple Exponential Smoothing forecasted value of Shigan Quantum Tech on the next trading day is expected to be 73.79 with a mean absolute deviation of 3.49, mean absolute percentage error of 20.82, and the sum of the absolute errors of 205.84.
Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict Shigan Stock prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not recommend using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that Shigan Quantum's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).

Shigan Quantum Stock Forecast Pattern

Model Predictive Factors

The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Triple Exponential Smoothing forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of Shigan Quantum stock data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent Shigan Quantum stock, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.
AICAkaike Information CriteriaHuge
BiasArithmetic mean of the errors 0.7257
MADMean absolute deviation3.4889
MAPEMean absolute percentage error0.0369
SAESum of the absolute errors205.8446
As with simple exponential smoothing, in triple exponential smoothing models past Shigan Quantum observations are given exponentially smaller weights as the observations get older. In other words, recent observations are given relatively more weight in forecasting than the older Shigan Quantum Tech observations.

Predictive Modules for Shigan Quantum

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Shigan Quantum Tech. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
74.6280.3486.06
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
65.9771.6977.41
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowMiddleHigh
62.9381.0699.18
Details
Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as Shigan Quantum. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against Shigan Quantum's peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, Shigan Quantum's competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy toward taking a position in Shigan Quantum Tech.

Shigan Quantum Related Equities

One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with Shigan Quantum stock to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of Shigan Quantum could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Shigan Quantum by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
 Risk & Return  Correlation

Shigan Quantum Market Strength Events

Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how Shigan Quantum stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading Shigan Quantum shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying Shigan Quantum stock market strength indicators, traders can identify Shigan Quantum Tech entry and exit signals to maximize returns.

Shigan Quantum Risk Indicators

The analysis of Shigan Quantum's basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in Shigan Quantum's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting shigan stock prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.

Also Currently Popular

Analyzing currently trending equities could be an opportunity to develop a better portfolio based on different market momentums that they can trigger. Utilizing the top trending stocks is also useful when creating a market-neutral strategy or pair trading technique involving a short or a long position in a currently trending equity.

Other Information on Investing in Shigan Stock

Shigan Quantum financial ratios help investors to determine whether Shigan Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Shigan with respect to the benefits of owning Shigan Quantum security.