Sextant Growth Mutual Fund Forecast - Simple Exponential Smoothing

SGZFX Fund  USD 58.97  0.83  1.43%   
The Simple Exponential Smoothing forecasted value of Sextant Growth Fund on the next trading day is expected to be 58.97 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.35 and the sum of the absolute errors of 21.17. Sextant Mutual Fund Forecast is based on your current time horizon.
  
Sextant Growth simple exponential smoothing forecast is a very popular model used to produce a smoothed price series. Whereas in simple Moving Average models the past observations for Sextant Growth Fund are weighted equally, Exponential Smoothing assigns exponentially decreasing weights as Sextant Growth prices get older.

Sextant Growth Simple Exponential Smoothing Price Forecast For the 13th of December 2024

Given 90 days horizon, the Simple Exponential Smoothing forecasted value of Sextant Growth Fund on the next trading day is expected to be 58.97 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.35, mean absolute percentage error of 0.23, and the sum of the absolute errors of 21.17.
Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict Sextant Mutual Fund prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not recommend using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that Sextant Growth's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).

Sextant Growth Mutual Fund Forecast Pattern

Backtest Sextant GrowthSextant Growth Price PredictionBuy or Sell Advice 

Sextant Growth Forecasted Value

In the context of forecasting Sextant Growth's Mutual Fund value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. Sextant Growth's downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 58.12 and 59.82, respectively. We have considered Sextant Growth's daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Market Value
58.97
58.97
Expected Value
59.82
Upside

Model Predictive Factors

The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Simple Exponential Smoothing forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of Sextant Growth mutual fund data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent Sextant Growth mutual fund, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.
AICAkaike Information Criteria114.8226
BiasArithmetic mean of the errors -0.0898
MADMean absolute deviation0.3528
MAPEMean absolute percentage error0.0063
SAESum of the absolute errors21.17
This simple exponential smoothing model begins by setting Sextant Growth Fund forecast for the second period equal to the observation of the first period. In other words, recent Sextant Growth observations are given relatively more weight in forecasting than the older observations.

Predictive Modules for Sextant Growth

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Sextant Growth. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the mutual fund market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the mutual fund market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
58.1258.9759.82
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
53.0762.9163.76
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowMiddleHigh
54.0656.4858.90
Details
Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as Sextant Growth. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against Sextant Growth's peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, Sextant Growth's competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy toward taking a position in Sextant Growth.

Other Forecasting Options for Sextant Growth

For every potential investor in Sextant, whether a beginner or expert, Sextant Growth's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. Sextant Mutual Fund price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in Sextant. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying Sextant Growth's price trends.

Sextant Growth Related Equities

One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with Sextant Growth mutual fund to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of Sextant Growth could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Sextant Growth by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
 Risk & Return  Correlation

Sextant Growth Technical and Predictive Analytics

The mutual fund market is financially volatile. Despite the volatility, there exist limitless possibilities of gaining profits and building passive income portfolios. With the complexity of Sextant Growth's price movements, a comprehensive understanding of forecasting methods that an investor can rely on to make the right move is invaluable. These methods predict trends that assist an investor in predicting the movement of Sextant Growth's current price.

Sextant Growth Market Strength Events

Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how Sextant Growth mutual fund reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading Sextant Growth shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying Sextant Growth mutual fund market strength indicators, traders can identify Sextant Growth Fund entry and exit signals to maximize returns.

Sextant Growth Risk Indicators

The analysis of Sextant Growth's basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in Sextant Growth's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting sextant mutual fund prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.

Also Currently Popular

Analyzing currently trending equities could be an opportunity to develop a better portfolio based on different market momentums that they can trigger. Utilizing the top trending stocks is also useful when creating a market-neutral strategy or pair trading technique involving a short or a long position in a currently trending equity.

Other Information on Investing in Sextant Mutual Fund

Sextant Growth financial ratios help investors to determine whether Sextant Mutual Fund is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Sextant with respect to the benefits of owning Sextant Growth security.
Aroon Oscillator
Analyze current equity momentum using Aroon Oscillator and other momentum ratios
Portfolio Suggestion
Get suggestions outside of your existing asset allocation including your own model portfolios
Bond Analysis
Evaluate and analyze corporate bonds as a potential investment for your portfolios.
Portfolio Anywhere
Track or share privately all of your investments from the convenience of any device