Sofina Société Pink Sheet Forecast - Simple Moving Average

SFNXF Stock  USD 230.00  1.00  0.44%   
The Simple Moving Average forecasted value of Sofina Socit Anonyme on the next trading day is expected to be 230.00 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.06 and the sum of the absolute errors of 3.30. Sofina Pink Sheet Forecast is based on your current time horizon. We recommend always using this module together with an analysis of Sofina Société's historical fundamentals, such as revenue growth or operating cash flow patterns.
  
A two period moving average forecast for Sofina Société is based on an daily price series in which the stock price on a given day is replaced by the mean of that price and the preceding price. This model is best suited to price patterns experiencing average volatility.

Sofina Société Simple Moving Average Price Forecast For the 6th of January

Given 90 days horizon, the Simple Moving Average forecasted value of Sofina Socit Anonyme on the next trading day is expected to be 230.00 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.06, mean absolute percentage error of 0.05, and the sum of the absolute errors of 3.30.
Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict Sofina Pink Sheet prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not recommend using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that Sofina Société's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).

Sofina Société Pink Sheet Forecast Pattern

Backtest Sofina SociétéSofina Société Price PredictionBuy or Sell Advice 

Sofina Société Forecasted Value

In the context of forecasting Sofina Société's Pink Sheet value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. Sofina Société's downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 229.92 and 230.08, respectively. We have considered Sofina Société's daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Market Value
230.00
229.92
Downside
230.00
Expected Value
230.08
Upside

Model Predictive Factors

The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Simple Moving Average forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of Sofina Société pink sheet data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent Sofina Société pink sheet, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.
AICAkaike Information Criteria111.3779
BiasArithmetic mean of the errors None
MADMean absolute deviation0.0559
MAPEMean absolute percentage error2.0E-4
SAESum of the absolute errors3.3
The simple moving average model is conceptually a linear regression of the current value of Sofina Socit Anonyme price series against current and previous (unobserved) value of Sofina Société. In time series analysis, the simple moving-average model is a very common approach for modeling univariate price series models including forecasting prices into the future

Predictive Modules for Sofina Société

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Sofina Socit Anonyme. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the pink sheet market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the pink sheet market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Sofina Société's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
229.92230.00230.08
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
229.65229.72253.00
Details

Other Forecasting Options for Sofina Société

For every potential investor in Sofina, whether a beginner or expert, Sofina Société's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. Sofina Pink Sheet price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in Sofina. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying Sofina Société's price trends.

View Sofina Société Related Equities

 Risk & Return  Correlation

Sofina Socit Anonyme Technical and Predictive Analytics

The pink sheet market is financially volatile. Despite the volatility, there exist limitless possibilities of gaining profits and building passive income portfolios. With the complexity of Sofina Société's price movements, a comprehensive understanding of forecasting methods that an investor can rely on to make the right move is invaluable. These methods predict trends that assist an investor in predicting the movement of Sofina Société's current price.

Sofina Société Market Strength Events

Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how Sofina Société pink sheet reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading Sofina Société shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying Sofina Société pink sheet market strength indicators, traders can identify Sofina Socit Anonyme entry and exit signals to maximize returns.

Sofina Société Risk Indicators

The analysis of Sofina Société's basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in Sofina Société's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting sofina pink sheet prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.

Currently Active Assets on Macroaxis

Other Information on Investing in Sofina Pink Sheet

Sofina Société financial ratios help investors to determine whether Sofina Pink Sheet is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Sofina with respect to the benefits of owning Sofina Société security.