Skandinaviska Enskilda Stock Forecast - Naive Prediction

SEB-A Stock  SEK 155.10  0.45  0.29%   
The Naive Prediction forecasted value of Skandinaviska Enskilda Banken on the next trading day is expected to be 159.60 with a mean absolute deviation of 1.47 and the sum of the absolute errors of 89.62. Skandinaviska Stock Forecast is based on your current time horizon.
  
A naive forecasting model for Skandinaviska Enskilda is a special case of the moving average forecasting where the number of periods used for smoothing is one. Therefore, the forecast of Skandinaviska Enskilda Banken value for a given trading day is simply the observed value for the previous period. Due to the simplistic nature of the naive forecasting model, it can only be used to forecast up to one period.

Skandinaviska Enskilda Naive Prediction Price Forecast For the 12th of December 2024

Given 90 days horizon, the Naive Prediction forecasted value of Skandinaviska Enskilda Banken on the next trading day is expected to be 159.60 with a mean absolute deviation of 1.47, mean absolute percentage error of 3.47, and the sum of the absolute errors of 89.62.
Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict Skandinaviska Stock prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not recommend using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that Skandinaviska Enskilda's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).

Skandinaviska Enskilda Stock Forecast Pattern

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Skandinaviska Enskilda Forecasted Value

In the context of forecasting Skandinaviska Enskilda's Stock value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. Skandinaviska Enskilda's downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 158.37 and 160.83, respectively. We have considered Skandinaviska Enskilda's daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Market Value
155.10
158.37
Downside
159.60
Expected Value
160.83
Upside

Model Predictive Factors

The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Naive Prediction forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of Skandinaviska Enskilda stock data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent Skandinaviska Enskilda stock, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.
AICAkaike Information Criteria119.3549
BiasArithmetic mean of the errors None
MADMean absolute deviation1.4692
MAPEMean absolute percentage error0.0096
SAESum of the absolute errors89.6187
This model is not at all useful as a medium-long range forecasting tool of Skandinaviska Enskilda Banken. This model is simplistic and is included partly for completeness and partly because of its simplicity. It is unlikely that you'll want to use this model directly to predict Skandinaviska Enskilda. Instead, consider using either the moving average model or the more general weighted moving average model with a higher (i.e., greater than 1) number of periods, and possibly a different set of weights.

Predictive Modules for Skandinaviska Enskilda

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Skandinaviska Enskilda. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
154.32155.55156.78
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
131.76132.99171.11
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowMiddleHigh
154.41155.80157.19
Details
Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as Skandinaviska Enskilda. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against Skandinaviska Enskilda's peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, Skandinaviska Enskilda's competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy toward taking a position in Skandinaviska Enskilda.

Other Forecasting Options for Skandinaviska Enskilda

For every potential investor in Skandinaviska, whether a beginner or expert, Skandinaviska Enskilda's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. Skandinaviska Stock price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in Skandinaviska. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying Skandinaviska Enskilda's price trends.

Skandinaviska Enskilda Related Equities

One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with Skandinaviska Enskilda stock to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of Skandinaviska Enskilda could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Skandinaviska Enskilda by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
 Risk & Return  Correlation

Skandinaviska Enskilda Technical and Predictive Analytics

The stock market is financially volatile. Despite the volatility, there exist limitless possibilities of gaining profits and building passive income portfolios. With the complexity of Skandinaviska Enskilda's price movements, a comprehensive understanding of forecasting methods that an investor can rely on to make the right move is invaluable. These methods predict trends that assist an investor in predicting the movement of Skandinaviska Enskilda's current price.

Skandinaviska Enskilda Market Strength Events

Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how Skandinaviska Enskilda stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading Skandinaviska Enskilda shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying Skandinaviska Enskilda stock market strength indicators, traders can identify Skandinaviska Enskilda Banken entry and exit signals to maximize returns.

Skandinaviska Enskilda Risk Indicators

The analysis of Skandinaviska Enskilda's basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in Skandinaviska Enskilda's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting skandinaviska stock prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.

Thematic Opportunities

Explore Investment Opportunities

Build portfolios using Macroaxis predefined set of investing ideas. Many of Macroaxis investing ideas can easily outperform a given market. Ideas can also be optimized per your risk profile before portfolio origination is invoked. Macroaxis thematic optimization helps investors identify companies most likely to benefit from changes or shifts in various micro-economic or local macro-level trends. Originating optimal thematic portfolios involves aligning investors' personal views, ideas, and beliefs with their actual investments.
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Additional Tools for Skandinaviska Stock Analysis

When running Skandinaviska Enskilda's price analysis, check to measure Skandinaviska Enskilda's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Skandinaviska Enskilda is operating at the current time. Most of Skandinaviska Enskilda's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Skandinaviska Enskilda's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Skandinaviska Enskilda's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Skandinaviska Enskilda to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.