SCB X Stock Forecast - Double Exponential Smoothing

SCB Stock  THB 114.50  0.50  0.44%   
The Double Exponential Smoothing forecasted value of SCB X Public on the next trading day is expected to be 114.16 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.95 and the sum of the absolute errors of 55.97. SCB Stock Forecast is based on your current time horizon.
  
Double exponential smoothing - also known as Holt exponential smoothing is a refinement of the popular simple exponential smoothing model with an additional trending component. Double exponential smoothing model for SCB X works best with periods where there are trends or seasonality.

SCB X Double Exponential Smoothing Price Forecast For the 30th of November

Given 90 days horizon, the Double Exponential Smoothing forecasted value of SCB X Public on the next trading day is expected to be 114.16 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.95, mean absolute percentage error of 1.74, and the sum of the absolute errors of 55.97.
Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict SCB Stock prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not recommend using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that SCB X's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).

SCB X Stock Forecast Pattern

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SCB X Forecasted Value

In the context of forecasting SCB X's Stock value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. SCB X's downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 113.03 and 115.30, respectively. We have considered SCB X's daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Market Value
114.50
113.03
Downside
114.16
Expected Value
115.30
Upside

Model Predictive Factors

The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Double Exponential Smoothing forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of SCB X stock data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent SCB X stock, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.
AICAkaike Information CriteriaHuge
BiasArithmetic mean of the errors 0.1553
MADMean absolute deviation0.9487
MAPEMean absolute percentage error0.0084
SAESum of the absolute errors55.9742
When SCB X Public prices exhibit either an increasing or decreasing trend over time, simple exponential smoothing forecasts tend to lag behind observations. Double exponential smoothing is designed to address this type of data series by taking into account any SCB X Public trend in the prices. So in double exponential smoothing past observations are given exponentially smaller weights as the observations get older. In other words, recent SCB X observations are given relatively more weight in forecasting than the older observations.

Predictive Modules for SCB X

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as SCB X Public. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
112.86114.00115.14
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
110.86112.00125.40
Details

Other Forecasting Options for SCB X

For every potential investor in SCB, whether a beginner or expert, SCB X's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. SCB Stock price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in SCB. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying SCB X's price trends.

SCB X Related Equities

One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with SCB X stock to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of SCB X could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing SCB X by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
 Risk & Return  Correlation

SCB X Public Technical and Predictive Analytics

The stock market is financially volatile. Despite the volatility, there exist limitless possibilities of gaining profits and building passive income portfolios. With the complexity of SCB X's price movements, a comprehensive understanding of forecasting methods that an investor can rely on to make the right move is invaluable. These methods predict trends that assist an investor in predicting the movement of SCB X's current price.

SCB X Market Strength Events

Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how SCB X stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading SCB X shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying SCB X stock market strength indicators, traders can identify SCB X Public entry and exit signals to maximize returns.

SCB X Risk Indicators

The analysis of SCB X's basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in SCB X's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting scb stock prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.

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Other Information on Investing in SCB Stock

SCB X financial ratios help investors to determine whether SCB Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in SCB with respect to the benefits of owning SCB X security.