SBI Cards Stock Forecast - 20 Period Moving Average

SBICARD Stock   675.30  3.90  0.57%   
The 20 Period Moving Average forecasted value of SBI Cards and on the next trading day is expected to be 707.53 with a mean absolute deviation of 19.68 and the sum of the absolute errors of 826.65. SBI Stock Forecast is based on your current time horizon. Investors can use this forecasting interface to forecast SBI Cards stock prices and determine the direction of SBI Cards and's future trends based on various well-known forecasting models. We recommend always using this module together with an analysis of SBI Cards' historical fundamentals, such as revenue growth or operating cash flow patterns.
  
At present, SBI Cards' Short and Long Term Debt Total is projected to increase significantly based on the last few years of reporting. The current year's Total Current Liabilities is expected to grow to about 15.8 B, whereas Non Currrent Assets Other are projected to grow to (39.9 B).
A commonly used 20-period moving average forecast model for SBI Cards and is based on a synthetically constructed SBI Cardsdaily price series in which the value for a trading day is replaced by the mean of that value and the values for 20 of preceding and succeeding time periods. This model is best suited for price series data that changes over time.

SBI Cards 20 Period Moving Average Price Forecast For the 29th of December

Given 90 days horizon, the 20 Period Moving Average forecasted value of SBI Cards and on the next trading day is expected to be 707.53 with a mean absolute deviation of 19.68, mean absolute percentage error of 473.57, and the sum of the absolute errors of 826.65.
Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict SBI Stock prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not recommend using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that SBI Cards' next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).

SBI Cards Stock Forecast Pattern

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SBI Cards Forecasted Value

In the context of forecasting SBI Cards' Stock value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. SBI Cards' downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 706.27 and 708.79, respectively. We have considered SBI Cards' daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Market Value
675.30
706.27
Downside
707.53
Expected Value
708.79
Upside

Model Predictive Factors

The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the 20 Period Moving Average forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of SBI Cards stock data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent SBI Cards stock, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.
AICAkaike Information Criteria89.3511
BiasArithmetic mean of the errors 3.7398
MADMean absolute deviation19.6821
MAPEMean absolute percentage error0.0282
SAESum of the absolute errors826.65
The eieght-period moving average method has an advantage over other forecasting models in that it does smooth out peaks and valleys in a set of daily observations. SBI Cards 20-period moving average forecast can only be used reliably to predict one or two periods into the future.

Predictive Modules for SBI Cards

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as SBI Cards. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
607.77676.95678.22
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
613.25614.52742.83
Details
Earnings
Estimates (0)
LowProjected EPSHigh
4.445.136.01
Details
Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as SBI Cards. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against SBI Cards' peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, SBI Cards' competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy toward taking a position in SBI Cards.

Other Forecasting Options for SBI Cards

For every potential investor in SBI, whether a beginner or expert, SBI Cards' price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. SBI Stock price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in SBI. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying SBI Cards' price trends.

SBI Cards Related Equities

One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with SBI Cards stock to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of SBI Cards could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing SBI Cards by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
 Risk & Return  Correlation

SBI Cards Technical and Predictive Analytics

The stock market is financially volatile. Despite the volatility, there exist limitless possibilities of gaining profits and building passive income portfolios. With the complexity of SBI Cards' price movements, a comprehensive understanding of forecasting methods that an investor can rely on to make the right move is invaluable. These methods predict trends that assist an investor in predicting the movement of SBI Cards' current price.

SBI Cards Market Strength Events

Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how SBI Cards stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading SBI Cards shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying SBI Cards stock market strength indicators, traders can identify SBI Cards and entry and exit signals to maximize returns.

SBI Cards Risk Indicators

The analysis of SBI Cards' basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in SBI Cards' investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting sbi stock prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.

Also Currently Popular

Analyzing currently trending equities could be an opportunity to develop a better portfolio based on different market momentums that they can trigger. Utilizing the top trending stocks is also useful when creating a market-neutral strategy or pair trading technique involving a short or a long position in a currently trending equity.

Other Information on Investing in SBI Stock

SBI Cards financial ratios help investors to determine whether SBI Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in SBI with respect to the benefits of owning SBI Cards security.