Salon City Stock Forecast - Naive Prediction

SALN Stock  USD 0.0001  0.00  0.00%   
The Naive Prediction forecasted value of Salon City on the next trading day is expected to be 0.0001 with a mean absolute deviation of 0 and the sum of the absolute errors of 0. Salon Stock Forecast is based on your current time horizon. Although Salon City's naive historical forecasting may sometimes provide an important future outlook for the firm, we recommend always cross-verifying it against solid analysis of Salon City's systematic risk associated with finding meaningful patterns of Salon City fundamentals over time.
  
At this time, Salon City's Total Assets are very stable compared to the past year. As of the 21st of December 2024, Long Term Debt is likely to grow to about 24.3 K, while Total Current Liabilities is likely to drop about 442.8 K.

Salon City Cash Forecast

Forecasting financial indicators like cash flow involves analysts applying various statistical methods, techniques, and algorithms. These tools reveal hidden trends within the Salon City's financial statements to estimate their effects on upcoming price movements.
 
Cash  
First Reported
2010-12-31
Previous Quarter
128.5 K
Current Value
83.8 K
Quarterly Volatility
23.2 K
 
Credit Downgrade
 
Yuan Drop
 
Covid
A naive forecasting model for Salon City is a special case of the moving average forecasting where the number of periods used for smoothing is one. Therefore, the forecast of Salon City value for a given trading day is simply the observed value for the previous period. Due to the simplistic nature of the naive forecasting model, it can only be used to forecast up to one period.

Salon City Naive Prediction Price Forecast For the 22nd of December

Given 90 days horizon, the Naive Prediction forecasted value of Salon City on the next trading day is expected to be 0.0001 with a mean absolute deviation of 0, mean absolute percentage error of 0, and the sum of the absolute errors of 0.
Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict Salon Stock prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not recommend using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that Salon City's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).

Salon City Stock Forecast Pattern

Backtest Salon CitySalon City Price PredictionBuy or Sell Advice 

Salon City Forecasted Value

In the context of forecasting Salon City's Stock value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. Salon City's downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 0.0001 and 0.0001, respectively. We have considered Salon City's daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Market Value
0.0001
0.0001
Downside
0.0001
Expected Value
0.0001
Upside

Model Predictive Factors

The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Naive Prediction forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of Salon City stock data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent Salon City stock, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.
AICAkaike Information Criteria30.385
BiasArithmetic mean of the errors None
MADMean absolute deviation0.0
MAPEMean absolute percentage error0.0
SAESum of the absolute errors0.0
This model is not at all useful as a medium-long range forecasting tool of Salon City. This model is simplistic and is included partly for completeness and partly because of its simplicity. It is unlikely that you'll want to use this model directly to predict Salon City. Instead, consider using either the moving average model or the more general weighted moving average model with a higher (i.e., greater than 1) number of periods, and possibly a different set of weights.

Predictive Modules for Salon City

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Salon City. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
0.000.00010.00
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
0.000.0000840.00
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowMiddleHigh
0.00010.00010.0001
Details

Other Forecasting Options for Salon City

For every potential investor in Salon, whether a beginner or expert, Salon City's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. Salon Stock price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in Salon. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying Salon City's price trends.

Salon City Related Equities

One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with Salon City stock to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of Salon City could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Salon City by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
 Risk & Return  Correlation

Salon City Technical and Predictive Analytics

The stock market is financially volatile. Despite the volatility, there exist limitless possibilities of gaining profits and building passive income portfolios. With the complexity of Salon City's price movements, a comprehensive understanding of forecasting methods that an investor can rely on to make the right move is invaluable. These methods predict trends that assist an investor in predicting the movement of Salon City's current price.

Salon City Market Strength Events

Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how Salon City stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading Salon City shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying Salon City stock market strength indicators, traders can identify Salon City entry and exit signals to maximize returns.

Pair Trading with Salon City

One of the main advantages of trading using pair correlations is that every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if Salon City position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Pair trading also minimizes risk from directional movements in the market. For example, if an entire industry or sector drops because of unexpected headlines, the short position in Salon City will appreciate offsetting losses from the drop in the long position's value.
The ability to find closely correlated positions to Salon City could be a great tool in your tax-loss harvesting strategies, allowing investors a quick way to find a similar-enough asset to replace Salon City when you sell it. If you don't do this, your portfolio allocation will be skewed against your target asset allocation. So, investors can't just sell and buy back Salon City - that would be a violation of the tax code under the "wash sale" rule, and this is why you need to find a similar enough asset and use the proceeds from selling Salon City to buy it.
The correlation of Salon City is a statistical measure of how it moves in relation to other instruments. This measure is expressed in what is known as the correlation coefficient, which ranges between -1 and +1. A perfect positive correlation (i.e., a correlation coefficient of +1) implies that as Salon City moves, either up or down, the other security will move in the same direction. Alternatively, perfect negative correlation means that if Salon City moves in either direction, the perfectly negatively correlated security will move in the opposite direction. If the correlation is 0, the equities are not correlated; they are entirely random. A correlation greater than 0.8 is generally described as strong, whereas a correlation less than 0.5 is generally considered weak.
Correlation analysis and pair trading evaluation for Salon City can also be used as hedging techniques within a particular sector or industry or even over random equities to generate a better risk-adjusted return on your portfolios.
Pair CorrelationCorrelation Matching
When determining whether Salon City offers a strong return on investment in its stock, a comprehensive analysis is essential. The process typically begins with a thorough review of Salon City's financial statements, including income statements, balance sheets, and cash flow statements, to assess its financial health. Key financial ratios are used to gauge profitability, efficiency, and growth potential of Salon City Stock. Outlined below are crucial reports that will aid in making a well-informed decision on Salon City Stock:
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Salon City to cross-verify your projections.
To learn how to invest in Salon Stock, please use our How to Invest in Salon City guide.
You can also try the Portfolio Suggestion module to get suggestions outside of your existing asset allocation including your own model portfolios.
Is Publishing space expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Salon City. If investors know Salon will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about Salon City listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Revenue Per Share
0.024
Quarterly Revenue Growth
(0.97)
Return On Assets
(1.21)
The market value of Salon City is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Salon that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Salon City's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Salon City's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Salon City's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Salon City's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Salon City's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Salon City is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Salon City's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.