Singha Estate Stock Forecast - 20 Period Moving Average

S-R Stock  THB 0.91  0.01  1.11%   
The 20 Period Moving Average forecasted value of Singha Estate Public on the next trading day is expected to be 0.91 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.13 and the sum of the absolute errors of 5.30. Singha Stock Forecast is based on your current time horizon.
  
A commonly used 20-period moving average forecast model for Singha Estate Public is based on a synthetically constructed Singha Estatedaily price series in which the value for a trading day is replaced by the mean of that value and the values for 20 of preceding and succeeding time periods. This model is best suited for price series data that changes over time.

Singha Estate 20 Period Moving Average Price Forecast For the 24th of December

Given 90 days horizon, the 20 Period Moving Average forecasted value of Singha Estate Public on the next trading day is expected to be 0.91 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.13, mean absolute percentage error of 0.03, and the sum of the absolute errors of 5.30.
Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict Singha Stock prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not recommend using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that Singha Estate's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).

Singha Estate Stock Forecast Pattern

Backtest Singha EstateSingha Estate Price PredictionBuy or Sell Advice 

Singha Estate Forecasted Value

In the context of forecasting Singha Estate's Stock value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. Singha Estate's downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 0.01 and 129.93, respectively. We have considered Singha Estate's daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Market Value
0.91
0.91
Expected Value
129.93
Upside

Model Predictive Factors

The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the 20 Period Moving Average forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of Singha Estate stock data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent Singha Estate stock, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.
AICAkaike Information Criteria77.9086
BiasArithmetic mean of the errors 0.0746
MADMean absolute deviation0.1294
MAPEMean absolute percentage error0.1354
SAESum of the absolute errors5.3035
The eieght-period moving average method has an advantage over other forecasting models in that it does smooth out peaks and valleys in a set of daily observations. Singha Estate Public 20-period moving average forecast can only be used reliably to predict one or two periods into the future.

Predictive Modules for Singha Estate

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Singha Estate Public. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
0.050.9196.41
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
0.030.6696.16
Details

Other Forecasting Options for Singha Estate

For every potential investor in Singha, whether a beginner or expert, Singha Estate's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. Singha Stock price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in Singha. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying Singha Estate's price trends.

Singha Estate Related Equities

One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with Singha Estate stock to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of Singha Estate could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Singha Estate by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
 Risk & Return  Correlation

Singha Estate Public Technical and Predictive Analytics

The stock market is financially volatile. Despite the volatility, there exist limitless possibilities of gaining profits and building passive income portfolios. With the complexity of Singha Estate's price movements, a comprehensive understanding of forecasting methods that an investor can rely on to make the right move is invaluable. These methods predict trends that assist an investor in predicting the movement of Singha Estate's current price.

Singha Estate Market Strength Events

Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how Singha Estate stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading Singha Estate shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying Singha Estate stock market strength indicators, traders can identify Singha Estate Public entry and exit signals to maximize returns.

Singha Estate Risk Indicators

The analysis of Singha Estate's basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in Singha Estate's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting singha stock prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.

Building efficient market-beating portfolios requires time, education, and a lot of computing power!

The Portfolio Architect is an AI-driven system that provides multiple benefits to our users by leveraging cutting-edge machine learning algorithms, statistical analysis, and predictive modeling to automate the process of asset selection and portfolio construction, saving time and reducing human error for individual and institutional investors.

Try AI Portfolio Architect

Other Information on Investing in Singha Stock

Singha Estate financial ratios help investors to determine whether Singha Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Singha with respect to the benefits of owning Singha Estate security.